Federal 预测与赔率· 1211 个市场

Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?

Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?

$34k 交易量
$14k 流动性
2
9 个月后结束

14%

Yes

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

$100k 交易量
$5k 流动性
1
3 个月后结束

27%

Yes

Who will vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair?

Who will vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair?

$72k 交易量
$22k 流动性
3 个月后结束

94%

Thom Tillis

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

$5.9m 交易量
$292k 流动性
🔥$198k 今日
8
8 个月后结束

34%

3.75%

Which companies will the US take a stake in?

Which companies will the US take a stake in?

$76k 交易量
$20k 流动性
2
9 个月后结束

49%

Palantir

Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?

Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?

$65k 交易量
$31k 流动性
1
大约 2 个月后结束

3%

Yes

Fed decision in April?

Fed decision in April?

$39.0m 交易量
$3.3m 流动性
🔥$2.1m 今日
22
29 天后结束

97%

No change

Fed Decision in July?

Fed Decision in July?

$2.7m 交易量
$247k 流动性
🔥$497k 今日
4 个月后结束

78%

No change

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

$22.0m 交易量
$1.3m 流动性
🔥$426k 今日
818
9 个月后结束

17%

December 31

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

$14.7m 交易量
$1.2m 流动性
🔥$279k 今日
58
9 个月后结束

35%

0 (0 bps)

Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?

$15.7m 交易量
$1.7m 流动性
🔥$229k 今日
69
7 个月后结束

95%

Kevin Warsh

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...?

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...?

$2.2m 交易量
$138k 流动性
🔥$194k 今日
122
大约 5 小时后结束

28%

April 30

Who visited Epstein's Island?

Who visited Epstein's Island?

$1.4m 交易量
$279k 流动性
🔥$181k 今日
120
3 个月后结束

33%

Kevin Spacey

Fed Decision in June?

Fed Decision in June?

$4.7m 交易量
$744k 流动性
🔥$181k 今日
13
3 个月后结束

88%

No change

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

$1.3m 交易量
$199k 流动性
🔥$130k 今日
17
9 个月后结束

64%

↓ 3.25%

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Fed rate hike in 2026?

$701k 交易量
$44k 流动性
🔥$51k 今日
27
8 个月后结束

22%

Yes

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Which party will win the House in 2026?

$4.1m 交易量
$453k 流动性
1
7 个月后结束

85%

Democratic Party

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

$4.4m 交易量
$178k 流动性
111
6 个月后结束

70%

United Russia (ER)

Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by...?

Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by...?

$435k 交易量
$22k 流动性
11
大约 2 个月后结束

53%

May 15

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

$1.3m 交易量
$292k 流动性
7 个月后结束

52%

Democratic Party