Abraham Accords Predictions & Odds· 112 markets
W
Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?
$356k Vol.
$70k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$356k Vol.$70k Liq.Ends in 9 months
27%
Kuwait
W
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by June 30?
$471 Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$471 Vol.$9k Liq.Ends in 3 months
17%
Yes
W
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
$72k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$72k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in 9 months
57%
Yes
W
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?
$103k Vol.
$56k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
$103k Vol.$56k Liq.3Ends in 7 months
54%
US x Iran Ceasefire
I
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by...?
$432k Vol.
$34k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
$432k Vol.$34k Liq.8Ends in 3 months
41%
June 30
U
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?
$75k Vol.
$22k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
$75k Vol.$22k Liq.6Ends in 3 months
54%
Yes
I
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?
$31k Vol.
$12k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$31k Vol.$12k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
22%
Leadership Change
I
Iran military action against Israel on...?
$68k Vol.
$84k Liq.
Ends in 27 days
$68k Vol.$84k Liq.Ends in 27 days
95%
April 2
M
Military action against Iran ends on...?
$123k Vol.
$210k Liq.
Ends in 27 days
$123k Vol.$210k Liq.Ends in 27 days
59%
Military action through April 30
U
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
$234k Vol.
$129k Liq.
🔥$56k today
Ends in 27 days
$234k Vol.🔥$56k today$129k Liq.Ends in 27 days
5%
Yes
I
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?
$12.0m Vol.
$1.1m Liq.
🔥$1.5m today
371
Ended
$12.0m Vol.🔥$1.5m today$1.1m Liq.371Ended
88%
December 31
M
Military action against Iran ends by...?
$47k Vol.
$98k Liq.
Ends in 27 days
$47k Vol.$98k Liq.Ends in 27 days
45%
April 24
I
Iran military action against ___ by April 30?
$230k Vol.
$723k Liq.
Ends in 27 days
$230k Vol.$723k Liq.Ends in 27 days
100%
Bahrain
M
Military action against Iran ends by...?
$316k Vol.
$45k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$316k Vol.$45k Liq.Ends in 3 months
81%
June 30
U
US x Iran ceasefire by...?
$81.5m Vol.
$2.5m Liq.
🔥$7.5m today
1,412
$81.5m Vol.🔥$7.5m today$2.5m Liq.1,412
73%
December 31
I
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
$199k Vol.
$99k Liq.
Ends in 27 days
$199k Vol.$99k Liq.Ends in 27 days
6%
Yes
U
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
$964k Vol.
$43k Liq.
53
Ends in 3 months
$964k Vol.$43k Liq.53Ends in 3 months
25%
Yes
I
50%
Yes