Abraham Accords Predictions & Odds· 112 markets
W
Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?
$355k Vol.
$68k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$355k Vol.$68k Liq.Ends in 9 months
27%
Somaliland
W
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?
$209k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ended
$209k Vol.$20k Liq.Ended
0%
Yes
W
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
$72k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$72k Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in 9 months
56%
Yes
W
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by June 30?
$136 Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$136 Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in 3 months
22%
Yes
W
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?
$102k Vol.
$58k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
$102k Vol.$58k Liq.3Ends in 7 months
55%
US x Iran Ceasefire
I
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by...?
$429k Vol.
$45k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
$429k Vol.$45k Liq.8Ends in 3 months
42%
June 30
U
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?
$74k Vol.
$14k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
$74k Vol.$14k Liq.6Ends in 3 months
61%
Yes
I
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?
$30k Vol.
$8k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$30k Vol.$8k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
25%
Leadership Change
I
Iran military action against Israel on...?
$51k Vol.
$94k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
$51k Vol.$94k Liq.Ends in 28 days
89%
April 3
M
Military action against Iran ends on...?
$105k Vol.
$221k Liq.
🔥$56k today
Ends in 28 days
$105k Vol.🔥$56k today$221k Liq.Ends in 28 days
52%
Military action through April 30
U
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
$222k Vol.
$87k Liq.
🔥$66k today
Ends in 28 days
$222k Vol.🔥$66k today$87k Liq.Ends in 28 days
7%
Yes
I
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?
$11.2m Vol.
$645k Liq.
🔥$1.8m today
362
Ended
$11.2m Vol.🔥$1.8m today$645k Liq.362Ended
87%
December 31
M
Military action against Iran ends by...?
$43k Vol.
$64k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
$43k Vol.$64k Liq.Ends in 28 days
54%
April 30
I
Iran military action against ___ by April 30?
$218k Vol.
$329k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
$218k Vol.$329k Liq.Ends in 28 days
100%
Bahrain
M
Military action against Iran ends by...?
$310k Vol.
$46k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$310k Vol.$46k Liq.Ends in 3 months
78%
May 31
U
US x Iran ceasefire by...?
$77.9m Vol.
$1.8m Liq.
🔥$8.5m today
1,372
$77.9m Vol.🔥$8.5m today$1.8m Liq.1,372
75%
December 31
I
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
$193k Vol.
$89k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
$193k Vol.$89k Liq.Ends in 28 days
6%
Yes
U
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
$946k Vol.
$44k Liq.
51
Ends in 3 months
$946k Vol.$44k Liq.51Ends in 3 months
25%
Yes
