Acting Predictions & Odds· 136 markets

Next Prime Minister of Vietnam

Next Prime Minister of Vietnam

$15.7m Vol.
$311k Liq.
🔥$642k today
204
Ended

95%

Lê Minh Hưng

Next President of Vietnam

Next President of Vietnam

$27.5m Vol.
$490k Liq.
🔥$491k today
237
Ended

93%

Tô Lâm

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?

$8.7m Vol.
$500k Liq.
🔥$303k today
326
Ends in about 7 hours

78%

December 31

Iran leadership change by...?

Iran leadership change by...?

$5.3m Vol.
$252k Liq.
🔥$127k today
887
Ends in 9 months

49%

December 31

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

$2.5m Vol.
$239k Liq.
🔥$121k today
Ends in 9 months

57%

Lori Chavez-DeRemer

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

$1.1m Vol.
$62k Liq.
🔥$70k today
Ends in about 7 hours

74%

June 30

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

$366k Vol.
$212k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months

59%

Pakistan

Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?

Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?

$134k Vol.
$28k Liq.
19
Ends in 3 months

66%

Yes

JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by...?

JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by...?

$201k Vol.
$50k Liq.
6
Ends in about 1 month

10%

April 10

What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing?

What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing?

$5k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in about 7 hours

92%

President 50+ times

How late will Leavitt be to the next press briefing?

How late will Leavitt be to the next press briefing?

$2k Vol.
$2k Liq.
1
Ends in about 7 hours

40%

15 - 20 minutes

Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by...?

Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by...?

$559k Vol.
$43k Liq.
12
Ends in 9 months

24%

December 31

Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

Parlays · Hide From New

Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

$65k Vol.
$52k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

80%

Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%

Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?

Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?

$28k Vol.
$13k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months

36%

Leadership Change

Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?

Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?

$46k Vol.
$26k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months

9%

Yes

Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain?

Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain?

$115k Vol.
$16k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months

13%

Yes

Next President of Benin

Next President of Benin

$8k Vol.
$28k Liq.
3
Ends in 12 days

97%

Romuald Wadagni

Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?

Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?

$6k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

14%

Yes

Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by April 30?

Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by April 30?

$24k Vol.
$11k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month

18%

Yes

How many senators will vote for Trump's Fed chair nominee?

How many senators will vote for Trump's Fed chair nominee?

$211 Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

34%

54