American Politics Predictions & Odds· 181 markets

W
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?

Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?

$196k Vol.
$36k Liq.
15
Ends in 9 months

24%

Yes

S
SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?

SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?

$88k Vol.
$70k Liq.
Ends in 5 months

94%

Yes

T
Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto by ___?

Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto by ___?

$104k Vol.
$7k Liq.
24
Ended

4%

Yes

W
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

$51k Vol.
$8k Liq.
14
Ends in 27 days

17%

Yes

W
Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

$1.6m Vol.
$835k Liq.
63
Ends in over 2 years

60%

Democratic

R
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

$59k Vol.
$16k Liq.
6
Ends in 7 months

3%

Yes

B
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

$4.4m Vol.
$559k Liq.
150
Ends in 7 months

51%

Democrats Sweep

W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

$0 Vol.
$13k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months

86%

Yes

A
American aid to Israel by Dec 31?

American aid to Israel by Dec 31?

$46k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

T
Trump gets more black voters than in 2020?

Trump gets more black voters than in 2020?

$888k Vol.
$0 Liq.
31
Ended

Yes

N
NY-16 Democratic Primary Winner

primary election · All

NY-16 Democratic Primary Winner

$87k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended

George Latimer

T
Trump and Biden shake hands at first debate?

Trump and Biden shake hands at first debate?

$149k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended

No

W
Will Trump tweet again by next Friday?

Will Trump tweet again by next Friday?

$14k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

T
Trump on ballot in every state?

Trump on ballot in every state?

$42k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended

Yes

T
Trump convicted of another felony before election?

No

W
Will Andy Kim win New Jersey Dem Senate Primary?

Yes

W
Will RFK Jr. debate Biden/Trump?

Will RFK Jr. debate Biden/Trump?

$531k Vol.
$0 Liq.
15
Ended

No

B
Balance of Power: 2024 Election

Balance of Power: 2024 Election

$80.1m Vol.
$0 Liq.
424
Ended

Republicans sweep

M
Mike Johnson out as Speaker before June?

Mike Johnson out as Speaker before June?

$204k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended

No