Anthropic Predictions & Odds· 276 markets

W
Will OpenAI Merge with Anthropic in 2023?

OpenAI · anthropic

Will OpenAI Merge with Anthropic in 2023?

$12k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

W
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?

Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?

$2.3m Vol.
$0 Liq.
203
Ended

Yes

W
Which company's AI will first hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30?

Which company's AI will first hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30?

$611k Vol.
$0 Liq.
17
Ends in 3 months

Anthropic

A
Apple Siri partnership with OpenAI/Anthropic by December 31?

Apple Siri partnership with OpenAI/Anthropic by December 31?

$28k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended

No

W
Will Claude go down on __ days in March?

Will Claude go down on __ days in March?

$23k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

11+

W
Will any AI reach $50k in Alpha Arena AI trading competition?

Will any AI reach $50k in Alpha Arena AI trading competition?

$37k Vol.
$0 Liq.
7
Ended

No

A
Alpha Arena AI trading competition biggest loser?

Alpha Arena AI trading competition biggest loser?

$239k Vol.
$0 Liq.
8
Ended

OpenAI

A
Alpha Arena AI trading competition winner?

Alpha Arena AI trading competition winner?

$1.0m Vol.
$0 Liq.
87
Ended

Alibaba

W
Will any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?

Will any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?

$537k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

O
OpenAI becomes a for-profit before April 2025?

OpenAI becomes a for-profit before April 2025?

$176k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

A
Anthropic acquired in 2025?

Anthropic acquired in 2025?

$49k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

W
Will Mira Murati join Anthropic?

AI · OpenAI

Will Mira Murati join Anthropic?

$42k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

C
Claude 5 released on...?

Claude 5 released on...?

$663k Vol.
$0 Liq.
5
Ended

No release by February 28

G
Grok 4.20 released by...?

Grok 4.20 released by...?

$844k Vol.
$0 Liq.
192

April 20

C
Claude 4 released in May?

Claude 4 released in May?

$46k Vol.
$0 Liq.
5
Ended

Yes

W
Which company has the #3 AI model end of March? (Style Control On)

Google

#
#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 31?

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 31?

$12k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Claude by Anthropic

#
#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 31?

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 31?

$21k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

ChatGPT

#
#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 27?

ChatGPT