Approvals Predictions & Odds· 109 markets
43%
39.5–39.9
48%
Up
Starmer approval Up or Down in April?
$194 Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$194 Vol.$2k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
50%
Up
Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by March 31?
$26k Vol.
$9k Liq.
1
Ends in about 5 hours
$26k Vol.$9k Liq.1Ends in about 5 hours
0%
Yes
US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?
$22k Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$22k Vol.$2k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
25%
Yes
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?
$544k Vol.
$3k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
$544k Vol.$3k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
24%
Yes
AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?
$12k Vol.
$3k Liq.
10
Ends in 9 months
$12k Vol.$3k Liq.10Ends in 9 months
35%
Yes
45%
Yes
94%
April 30
4%
Yes
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?
$582k Vol.
$8k Liq.
38
Ends in 3 months
$582k Vol.$8k Liq.38Ends in 3 months
13%
Yes
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$29k Vol.
$13k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
$29k Vol.$13k Liq.3Ends in about 1 month
42%
April 30
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?
$931k Vol.
$14k Liq.
7
Ends in 9 months
$931k Vol.$14k Liq.7Ends in 9 months
47%
December 31
Who will vote "Yea" on the DHS Appropriations Act, 2026 by March 31?
$81k Vol.
$48k Liq.
1
Ends in about 5 hours
$81k Vol.$48k Liq.1Ends in about 5 hours
5%
Jacky Rosen
How high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
$3k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$3k Vol.$19k Liq.Ends in 9 months
13%
↑ 44%
How low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
$41k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$41k Vol.$15k Liq.Ends in 9 months
32%
35%
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 31?
$24k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in about 5 hours
$24k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in about 5 hours
19%
Yes
60%
Super Heavy booster explodes?
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 27?
$15k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ended
$15k Vol.$5k Liq.Ended
4%
Yes