Arrest Predictions & Odds· 457 markets
Will Prince Andrew record an interview by March 31?
$2k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours
$2k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in about 9 hours
2%
Yes
Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by April 30?
$24k Vol.
$7k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
$24k Vol.$7k Liq.3Ends in about 1 month
19%
Yes
Eric Adams arrested by March 31?
$16k Vol.
$15k Liq.
2
Ends in about 9 hours
$16k Vol.$15k Liq.2Ends in about 9 hours
0%
Yes
Netanyahu arrested by March 31?
$137k Vol.
$15k Liq.
4
Ends in about 9 hours
$137k Vol.$15k Liq.4Ends in about 9 hours
0%
Yes
Les Wexner arrested by March 31?
$20k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours
$20k Vol.$14k Liq.Ends in about 9 hours
0%
Yes
6%
Yes
José Luís Rodríguez Zapatero arrested by March 31?
$144k Vol.
$9k Liq.
32
Ends in about 9 hours
$144k Vol.$9k Liq.32Ends in about 9 hours
0%
Yes
Geopolitics · Politics
Nicolas Sarkozy in jail by March 31?
$59k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours
$59k Vol.$18k Liq.Ends in about 9 hours
0%
Yes
Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30?
$40k Vol.
$10k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
$40k Vol.$10k Liq.4Ends in 3 months
56%
Yes
Yoon out of custody by March 31?
$130k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours
$130k Vol.$13k Liq.Ends in about 9 hours
0%
Yes
SBF released from custody in 2026?
$309k Vol.
$33k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
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11%
Yes
15%
Yes
Stefon Diggs arrested by March 31?
$69k Vol.
$749 Liq.
2
Ends in about 9 hours
$69k Vol.$749 Liq.2Ends in about 9 hours
1%
Yes
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?
$46k Vol.
$16k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$46k Vol.$16k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
9%
Yes
1%
Yes
Either Tate brother arrested by...?
$1k Vol.
$4k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
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23%
June 30
Luigi Mangione out of custody before 2027?
$5k Vol.
$10k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 months
$5k Vol.$10k Liq.6Ends in 9 months
7%
Yes
55%
Juan Pablo Ledezma
Jerome Powell arrested by March 31?
$79k Vol.
$37k Liq.
1
Ends in about 9 hours
$79k Vol.$37k Liq.1Ends in about 9 hours
0%
Yes