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OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

$45k Vol.

$9k Liq.

9

Ends in 9 months

22%

Yes

AI bubble burst by...?

AI bubble burst by...?

$2.5m Vol.

$22k Liq.

80

Ends in 9 months

22%

December 31, 2026

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

$73k Vol.

$4k Liq.

3

Ends in 9 months

42%

Yes

OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

$3k Vol.

$1k Liq.

1

Ends in 3 months

37%

Yes

Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?

Geopolitics·Business

Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?

$70k Vol.

$24k Liq.

Ends in 3 months

11%

Yes

GPT-5.5 released by...?

GPT-5.5 released by...?

$296k Vol.

$21k Liq.

4

93%

June 30

ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

$354 Vol.

$3k Liq.

Ends in 10 days

8%

Yes

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

$27k Vol.

$1k Liq.

4

Ends in 9 months

29%

Yes

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

$100k Vol.

$5k Liq.

1

Ends in 3 months

28%

Yes

ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?

ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?

$13k Vol.

$6k Liq.

Ends in about 7 hours

2%

Yes

$AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?$

AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?

$3k Vol.

$1k Liq.

Ends in 9 months

61%

Yes

GPT-6 released by…?

GPT-6 released by…?

$358k Vol.

$41k Liq.

40

Ended

82%

December 31, 2026

Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

$0 Vol.

$5k Liq.

3

Ends in 9 months

10%

Yes

Big AI out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?

Big AI out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?

$1k Vol.

$7k Liq.

Ends in 15 days

81%

April 15

ChatGPT Outage by...?

ChatGPT Outage by...?

$25k Vol.

$4k Liq.

Ended

21%

Yes

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?

$1.4m Vol.

$76k Liq.

25

Ends in 3 months

28%

OpenAI

$Which company will have the best AI model for math on March 31?$

Which company will have the best AI model for math on March 31?

$489k Vol.

$59k Liq.

3

Ends in about 7 hours

100%

OpenAI

Which company has the best AI model end of April?

Which company has the best AI model end of April?

$2.7m Vol.

$441k Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

89%

Anthropic

Which company has the second best AI model end of April?

Which company has the second best AI model end of April?

$13k Vol.

$93k Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

80%

Anthropic

Which company has the top AI model end of March? (Style Control On)

Which company has the top AI model end of March? (Style Control On)

$1.0m Vol.

$115k Liq.

1

Ends in about 7 hours

99%

Anthropic