Ayatollah Khamenei Predictions & Odds· 134 markets
What will Trump say in April?
$14k Vol.
$35k Liq.
10
Ends in about 1 month
$14k Vol.$35k Liq.10Ends in about 1 month
92%
Operation Epic Fury
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by...?
$731k Vol.
$92k Liq.
61
Ends in about 1 month
$731k Vol.$92k Liq.61Ends in about 1 month
8%
June 30
Iran leadership change by...?
$5.2m Vol.
$214k Liq.
🔥$121k today
885
Ends in 9 months
$5.2m Vol.🔥$121k today$214k Liq.885Ends in 9 months
53%
December 31
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?
$28k Vol.
$12k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$28k Vol.$12k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
34%
Leadership Change
Will Clavicular be Iran's next Supreme Leader by March 31st?
$1.1m Vol.
$401k Liq.
47
Ends in about 11 hours
$1.1m Vol.$401k Liq.47Ends in about 11 hours
0%
Yes
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$28k Vol.
$18k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$28k Vol.$18k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
41%
April 30
Iran leader end of 2026?
$5.6m Vol.
$1.2m Liq.
71
Ends in 9 months
$5.6m Vol.$1.2m Liq.71Ends in 9 months
44%
Mojtaba Khamenei
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
$466k Vol.
$79k Liq.
26
Ends in 9 months
$466k Vol.$79k Liq.26Ends in 9 months
15%
Yes
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
$841k Vol.
$91k Liq.
29
Ends in 9 months
$841k Vol.$91k Liq.29Ends in 9 months
15%
Yes
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?
$97k Vol.
$35k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
$97k Vol.$35k Liq.3Ends in 7 months
51%
US x Iran Ceasefire
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
$57.8m Vol.
$2.8m Liq.
🔥$3.8m today
2
Ends in about 11 hours
$57.8m Vol.🔥$3.8m today$2.8m Liq.2Ends in about 11 hours
0%
Yes
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
$12.2m Vol.
$273k Liq.
🔥$194k today
10
Ends in 9 months
$12.2m Vol.🔥$194k today$273k Liq.10Ends in 9 months
34%
Yes
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?
$7k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$7k Vol.$19k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
21%
April 30
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
$405k Vol.
$36k Liq.
50
Ends in 3 months
$405k Vol.$36k Liq.50Ends in 3 months
81%
Yes
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?
$12.3m Vol.
$552k Liq.
🔥$271k today
294
Ends in 3 months
$12.3m Vol.🔥$271k today$552k Liq.294Ends in 3 months
27%
December 31
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
$339k Vol.
$25k Liq.
18
Ends in 3 months
$339k Vol.$25k Liq.18Ends in 3 months
22%
Yes
17%
Isfahan nuclear facility
What will Iran conduct military action against by April 30?
$92k Vol.
$113k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$92k Vol.$113k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
43%
Ras Tanura
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?
$389k Vol.
$13k Liq.
16
Ends in about 11 hours
$389k Vol.$13k Liq.16Ends in about 11 hours
4%
Yes
How many ships will Iran successfully target by March 31?
$64k Vol.
$42k Liq.
2
Ends in about 11 hours
$64k Vol.$42k Liq.2Ends in about 11 hours
98%
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