Ayatollah Khamenei Predictions & Odds· 103 markets
What will Trump say in April?
$16k Vol.
$36k Liq.
11
Ends in about 1 month
$16k Vol.$36k Liq.11Ends in about 1 month
93%
Jesus
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by...?
$733k Vol.
$83k Liq.
61
Ends in about 1 month
$733k Vol.$83k Liq.61Ends in about 1 month
9%
June 30
Iran leadership change by...?
$5.3m Vol.
$210k Liq.
🔥$126k today
887
Ends in 9 months
$5.3m Vol.🔥$126k today$210k Liq.887Ends in 9 months
48%
December 31
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?
$29k Vol.
$13k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$29k Vol.$13k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
39%
Leadership Change
Will Clavicular be Iran's next Supreme Leader by March 31st?
$1.1m Vol.
$399k Liq.
47
Ends in about 5 hours
$1.1m Vol.$399k Liq.47Ends in about 5 hours
0%
Yes
Iran leader end of 2026?
$5.6m Vol.
$815k Liq.
70
Ends in 9 months
$5.6m Vol.$815k Liq.70Ends in 9 months
49%
Mojtaba Khamenei
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
$466k Vol.
$47k Liq.
26
Ends in 9 months
$466k Vol.$47k Liq.26Ends in 9 months
15%
Yes
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$29k Vol.
$12k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
$29k Vol.$12k Liq.3Ends in about 1 month
42%
April 30
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
$841k Vol.
$88k Liq.
29
Ends in 9 months
$841k Vol.$88k Liq.29Ends in 9 months
15%
Yes
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
$58.5m Vol.
$2.5m Liq.
🔥$4.2m today
3
Ends in about 5 hours
$58.5m Vol.🔥$4.2m today$2.5m Liq.3Ends in about 5 hours
0%
Yes
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?
$97k Vol.
$33k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
$97k Vol.$33k Liq.3Ends in 7 months
47%
US x Iran Ceasefire
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?
$9k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$9k Vol.$16k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
20%
April 30
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
$12.2m Vol.
$253k Liq.
🔥$172k today
11
Ends in 9 months
$12.2m Vol.🔥$172k today$253k Liq.11Ends in 9 months
34%
Yes
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?
$12.5m Vol.
$436k Liq.
🔥$403k today
288
Ends in 3 months
$12.5m Vol.🔥$403k today$436k Liq.288Ends in 3 months
27%
December 31
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
$424k Vol.
$30k Liq.
50
Ends in 3 months
$424k Vol.$30k Liq.50Ends in 3 months
85%
Yes
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
$339k Vol.
$19k Liq.
18
Ends in 3 months
$339k Vol.$19k Liq.18Ends in 3 months
22%
Yes
16%
Isfahan nuclear facility
How late will Leavitt be to the next press briefing?
$0 Vol.
$935 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$0 Vol.$935 Liq.Ends in about 1 month
42%
20 - 25 minutes
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?
$64k Vol.
$13k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
$64k Vol.$13k Liq.6Ends in 3 months
42%
Yes
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?
$390k Vol.
$12k Liq.
17
Ends in about 5 hours
$390k Vol.$12k Liq.17Ends in about 5 hours
4%
Yes