Bank Failure Predictions & Odds· 123 markets

U
US bank failure by April 30?

US bank failure by April 30?

$9k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 29 days

17%

Yes

W
Which banks will fail by June 30?

Which banks will fail by June 30?

$358k Vol.
$97k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months

2%

Deutsche Bank

M
Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?

Economy

Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?

$0 Vol.
$2k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months

24%

Yes

N
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

$442k Vol.
$30k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months

42%

Yes

U
US bank failure in April?

economics · Business News

US bank failure in April?

$57k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Yes

U
US bank failure by June 30?

Banking · Bank Failure

US bank failure by June 30?

$60k Vol.
$0 Liq.
5
Ended

No

U
US bank failure in February?

US bank failure in February?

$117k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended

No

A
Another US bank failure by March 31?

Another US bank failure by March 31?

$114k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

A
Another US bank failure by February 28?

Another US bank failure by February 28?

$103k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

U
US bank failure by February 28?

US bank failure by February 28?

$78k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Yes

U
US bank failure by January 31?

US bank failure by January 31?

$693k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Yes

U
US bank failure by...?

US bank failure by...?

$99k Vol.
$0 Liq.
-1
Ended

September 30

U
US bank failure before March?

US bank failure before March?

$57k Vol.
$0 Liq.
10
Ended

Yes

U
US bank failure in March?

All

US bank failure in March?

$49k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

U
US bank failure before July?

US bank failure before July?

$40k Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ended

Yes

U
US bank failure before December?

US bank failure before December?

$146k Vol.
$0 Liq.
16
Ended

No

U
US bank failure by October 31?

US bank failure by October 31?

$204k Vol.
$0 Liq.
17
Ended

Yes

U
US bank failure before September?

US bank failure before September?

$121k Vol.
$0 Liq.
12
Ended

No

W
Will First Republic Bank fail by April 30?

All

Will First Republic Bank fail by April 30?

$25k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

W
Will a third US bank fail by March 17?

All

Will a third US bank fail by March 17?

$24k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No