Board Appointments Predictions & Odds· 104 markets
Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?
$15.7m Vol.
$1.7m Liq.
🔥$214k today
69
Ends in 7 months
$15.7m Vol.🔥$214k today$1.7m Liq.69Ends in 7 months
95%
Kevin Warsh
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by...?
$435k Vol.
$22k Liq.
11
Ends in about 2 months
$435k Vol.$22k Liq.11Ends in about 2 months
53%
May 15
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?
$97k Vol.
$32k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
$97k Vol.$32k Liq.3Ends in 7 months
47%
US x Iran Ceasefire
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?
$7k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$7k Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in 9 months
14%
Yes
Will Condoleezza Rice join the Trump administration by April 30?
$2k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$2k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
2%
Yes
Which countries will join the Board of Peace by March 31?
$3.4m Vol.
$147k Liq.
130
Ends in about 5 hours
$3.4m Vol.$147k Liq.130Ends in about 5 hours
2%
India
Geopolitics · World
Next leader out of power before 2027?
$3.4m Vol.
$356k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$3.4m Vol.$356k Liq.Ends in 9 months
60%
Orbán - Hungary PM
Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds above ___ by March 31?
$0 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in about 5 hours
$0 Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in about 5 hours
53%
>5%
Who will vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair?
$72k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$72k Vol.$21k Liq.Ends in 3 months
94%
Thom Tillis
How many senators will vote for Trump's Fed chair nominee?
$211 Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$211 Vol.$14k Liq.Ends in 9 months
35%
60+
3%
Yes
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?
$1.8m Vol.
$134k Liq.
37
Ends in about 1 month
$1.8m Vol.$134k Liq.37Ends in about 1 month
2%
May 14
82%
Pause–Pause–Pause
97%
Pause–Pause–Pause
Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in June?
$12k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$12k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 3 months
71%
Increase
Trump · Fed Rates
Trump drops Powell investigation by…?
$4k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$4k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in 3 months
64%
June 30
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
$37k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$37k Vol.$21k Liq.Ends in 9 months
8%
Yes
How late will Leavitt be to the next press briefing?
$0 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$0 Vol.$1k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
42%
20 - 25 minutes
yale · NCAA
Vicky Chun out as Yale AD by June 30, 2026?
$144 Vol.
$488 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$144 Vol.$488 Liq.Ends in 3 months
32%
Yes
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$29k Vol.
$15k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
$29k Vol.$15k Liq.3Ends in about 1 month
42%
April 30