Board Resignations Predictions & Odds· 127 markets
W
Which countries will join the Board of Peace by March 31?
$3.4m Vol.
$144k Liq.
131
Ended
$3.4m Vol.$144k Liq.131Ended
2%
India
J
Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?
$117k Vol.
$22k Liq.
9
Ends in 9 months
$117k Vol.$22k Liq.9Ends in 9 months
70%
December 31
W
Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?
$15.9m Vol.
$1.6m Liq.
🔥$318k today
72
Ends in 7 months
$15.9m Vol.🔥$318k today$1.6m Liq.72Ends in 7 months
95%
Kevin Warsh
S
29%
1.8% to 2.0%
F
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
$74k Vol.
$19k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
$74k Vol.$19k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
17%
Yes
K
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by...?
$436k Vol.
$38k Liq.
12
Ends in about 1 month
$436k Vol.$38k Liq.12Ends in about 1 month
51%
May 15
W
4%
Yes
W
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?
$97k Vol.
$45k Liq.
4
Ends in 7 months
$97k Vol.$45k Liq.4Ends in 7 months
48%
US x Iran Ceasefire
W
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?
$24k Vol.
$6k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$24k Vol.$6k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
18%
Yes
W
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?
$240k Vol.
$18k Liq.
28
Ends in 9 months
$240k Vol.$18k Liq.28Ends in 9 months
41%
Yes
W
Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027?
$67k Vol.
$9k Liq.
7
Ends in about 1 year
$67k Vol.$9k Liq.7Ends in about 1 year
7%
Yes
W
NBA Draft · Sports
Will the NBA alter draft lottery rules?
$40 Vol.
$476 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$40 Vol.$476 Liq.Ends in 3 months
80%
Yes
I
98%
Stratton 6–9%
E
Ethiopia Parliamentary Election Winner
$2k Vol.
$15k Liq.
7
Ends in 2 months
$2k Vol.$15k Liq.7Ends in 2 months
92%
Prosperity
N
Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by March 31?
$199k Vol.
$12k Liq.
1
Ended
$199k Vol.$12k Liq.1Ended
0%
Yes
U
UK Cabinet Minister resigns by...?
$107k Vol.
$7k Liq.
55
Ends in 3 months
$107k Vol.$7k Liq.55Ends in 3 months
76%
Yes
W
Which CEOs will be out before 2027?
$542k Vol.
$40k Liq.
17
Ends in 9 months
$542k Vol.$40k Liq.17Ends in 9 months
33%
Dan Clancy - Twitch
V
yale · NCAA
Vicky Chun out as Yale AD by June 30, 2026?
$144 Vol.
$517 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$144 Vol.$517 Liq.Ends in 3 months
10%
Yes
U
U.S. Congress member out over Epstein files by April 30?
$6k Vol.
$3k Liq.
2
Ends in 30 days
$6k Vol.$3k Liq.2Ends in 30 days
11%
Yes
W
Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?
$403k Vol.
$101k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
$403k Vol.$101k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
62%
Kristi Noem