Cabinet Predictions & Odds· 123 markets
W
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?
$2.6m Vol.
$159k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$2.6m Vol.$159k Liq.Ends in 9 months
43%
Pam Bondi
U
UK Cabinet Minister resigns by...?
$108k Vol.
$2k Liq.
54
Ends in 3 months
$108k Vol.$2k Liq.54Ends in 3 months
71%
Yes
W
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
$23.1m Vol.
$1.1m Liq.
🔥$172k today
829
Ends in 9 months
$23.1m Vol.🔥$172k today$1.1m Liq.829Ends in 9 months
17%
Yes
W
Which parties will be part of the next Government of Slovenia?
$103k Vol.
$42k Liq.
4
Ended
$103k Vol.$42k Liq.4Ended
79%
Social Democrats (SD)
W
Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?
$409k Vol.
$111k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$409k Vol.$111k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
63%
Kristi Noem
W
Which parties will be part of the next Government of Denmark?
$38k Vol.
$48k Liq.
6
Ended
$38k Vol.$48k Liq.6Ended
97%
Moderates
L
Lecornu out as French PM by...?
$315k Vol.
$18k Liq.
111
Ends in 9 months
$315k Vol.$18k Liq.111Ends in 9 months
37%
December 31, 2026
U
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?
$1.5m Vol.
$14k Liq.
78
Ends in 3 months
$1.5m Vol.$14k Liq.78Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes
W
Will Condoleezza Rice join the Trump administration by April 30?
$2k Vol.
$316 Liq.
Ends in 28 days
$2k Vol.$316 Liq.Ends in 28 days
4%
Yes
J
Japan GDP growth in Q1 2026?
$257 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$257 Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
46%
0.0–0.2%
W
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?
$7k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$7k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in 9 months
14%
Yes
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?
$73k Vol.
$36k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
$73k Vol.$36k Liq.Ends in 28 days
3%
Yes
P
Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by...?
$167k Vol.
$19k Liq.
9
Ends in 9 months
$167k Vol.$19k Liq.9Ends in 9 months
64%
December 31
H
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?
$933 Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$933 Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in 9 months
21%
Yes
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
$628 Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$628 Vol.$23k Liq.Ends in 9 months
25%
Yes
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
$9k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$9k Vol.$9k Liq.Ends in 3 months
16%
Yes
R
23%
Yes
T
Trump out as President by April 30?
$394k Vol.
$195k Liq.
🔥$120k today
Ends in 28 days
$394k Vol.🔥$120k today$195k Liq.Ends in 28 days
1%
Yes
T
Trump out as President by June 30?
$2.0m Vol.
$731k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$2.0m Vol.$731k Liq.Ends in 3 months
6%
Yes
T
Trump out as President before 2027?
$5.6m Vol.
$576k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$5.6m Vol.$576k Liq.Ends in 9 months
16%
Yes