Cabinet Predictions & Odds· 126 markets
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?
$2.5m Vol.
$165k Liq.
🔥$62k today
Ends in 9 months
$2.5m Vol.🔥$62k today$165k Liq.Ends in 9 months
58%
Lori Chavez-DeRemer
UK Cabinet Minister resigns by...?
$107k Vol.
$4k Liq.
54
Ends in 3 months
$107k Vol.$4k Liq.54Ends in 3 months
76%
Yes
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
$22.0m Vol.
$1.3m Liq.
🔥$428k today
818
Ends in 9 months
$22.0m Vol.🔥$428k today$1.3m Liq.818Ends in 9 months
17%
December 31
Which parties will be part of the next Government of Slovenia?
$98k Vol.
$38k Liq.
4
Ended
$98k Vol.$38k Liq.4Ended
85%
Democrats (D)
Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?
$403k Vol.
$87k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$403k Vol.$87k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
62%
Kristi Noem
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?
$1.5m Vol.
$19k Liq.
78
Ends in 3 months
$1.5m Vol.$19k Liq.78Ends in 3 months
14%
June 30
Will Condoleezza Rice join the Trump administration by April 30?
$2k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$2k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
2%
Yes
Which parties will be part of the next Government of Denmark?
$22k Vol.
$27k Liq.
3
Ended
$22k Vol.$27k Liq.3Ended
98%
Moderates
Lecornu out as French PM by...?
$314k Vol.
$15k Liq.
112
Ends in 9 months
$314k Vol.$15k Liq.112Ends in 9 months
37%
December 31, 2026
US confirms Havana Syndrome–causing device by March 31?
$82k Vol.
$9k Liq.
4
Ends in about 4 hours
$82k Vol.$9k Liq.4Ends in about 4 hours
1%
Yes
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?
$7k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$7k Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in 9 months
14%
Yes
Japan GDP growth in Q1 2026?
$257 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$257 Vol.$1k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
43%
0.0–0.2%
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?
$51k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$51k Vol.$23k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
8%
Yes
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31?
$284k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in about 4 hours
$284k Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in about 4 hours
0%
Yes
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
$6k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$6k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in 3 months
27%
Yes
Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by...?
$158k Vol.
$11k Liq.
8
Ends in 9 months
$158k Vol.$11k Liq.8Ends in 9 months
74%
December 31
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by March 31?
$74k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 4 hours
$74k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in about 4 hours
1%
Yes
Trump out as President by March 31?
$13.4m Vol.
$2.3m Liq.
🔥$589k today
Ends in about 4 hours
$13.4m Vol.🔥$589k today$2.3m Liq.Ends in about 4 hours
0%
Yes
Trump out as President before 2027?
$5.4m Vol.
$384k Liq.
🔥$209k today
1
Ends in 9 months
$5.4m Vol.🔥$209k today$384k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
16%
Yes