Cboe Volatility Index Predictions & Odds· 102 markets

Prediction Markets · Business
Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by March 31, 2026?
$196k Vol.
$7k Liq.
6
Ends in about 5 hours
$196k Vol.$7k Liq.6Ends in about 5 hours
50%
CME

What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?
$22k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$22k Vol.$1k Liq.Ends in 9 months
40%
Yes

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
$38k Vol.
$19k Liq.
8
Ends in about 1 year
$38k Vol.$19k Liq.8Ends in about 1 year
12%
Yes

2026 U.S. House election: Republicans flip the Democrats by...?
$55k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in about 5 hours
$55k Vol.$17k Liq.Ends in about 5 hours
0%
Yes

Did a crypto hedge fund blow up?
$19k Vol.
$1k Liq.
2
Ends in about 2 months
$19k Vol.$1k Liq.2Ends in about 2 months
37%
Yes

How many Tornadoes in the US in 2026?
$26k Vol.
$12k Liq.
1
Ends in 10 months
$26k Vol.$12k Liq.1Ends in 10 months
41%
1250+

Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds above ___ by March 31?
$0 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in about 5 hours
$0 Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in about 5 hours
53%
>5%

Q1 S&P 500 Performance
$353k Vol.
$35k Liq.
1
Ends in about 5 hours
$353k Vol.$35k Liq.1Ends in about 5 hours
100%
<0%

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 31?
$655 Vol.
$931 Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$655 Vol.$931 Liq.Ends in 1 day
53%
Up

What will Dow Jones (DJIA) hit in March?
$2k Vol.
$937 Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$2k Vol.$937 Liq.Ends in 1 day
47%
↓ 43200

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?
$666k Vol.
$20k Liq.
9
Ends in about 1 year
$666k Vol.$20k Liq.9Ends in about 1 year
44%
1

White House # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$52k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$52k Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in 4 days
42%
160-179

S&P 500 Single-Day Gains and Losses (%) in Q1
$330k Vol.
$20k Liq.
2
Ends in about 5 hours
$330k Vol.$20k Liq.2Ends in about 5 hours
7%
2% Gain

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in February, 2026?
$6k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 5 hours
$6k Vol.$1k Liq.Ends in about 5 hours
7%
Up

S&P 500 breaks its losing streak this week?
$28k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in 2 days
$28k Vol.$5k Liq.1Ends in 2 days
47%
Yes

Natural Disasters · Weather
How many Tornadoes in the US in April?
$647 Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$647 Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
41%
170–199

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 2026?
$0 Vol.
$144 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$0 Vol.$144 Liq.Ends in about 1 month
82%
Up

How many Tornadoes in the US in March?
$158k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
$158k Vol.$25k Liq.Ends in 10 days
100%
150+

White House # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?
$154k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in about 21 hours
$154k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in about 21 hours
72%
160-179
