Ceasefire Predictions & Odds· 384 markets
U
US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?
$96k Vol.
$12k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
$96k Vol.$12k Liq.9Ends in 3 months
33%
Yes
U
US x Iran ceasefire by...?
$80.9m Vol.
$2.6m Liq.
🔥$8.6m today
1,403
$80.9m Vol.🔥$8.6m today$2.6m Liq.1,403
73%
December 31
I
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by...?
$430k Vol.
$38k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
$430k Vol.$38k Liq.8Ends in 3 months
41%
June 30
U
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?
$75k Vol.
$22k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
$75k Vol.$22k Liq.6Ends in 3 months
52%
Yes
I
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?
$30k Vol.
$11k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$30k Vol.$11k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
22%
Leadership Change
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
$1.9m Vol.
$388k Liq.
🔥$497k today
Ends in 28 days
$1.9m Vol.🔥$497k today$388k Liq.Ends in 28 days
2%
Yes
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
$4.4m Vol.
$456k Liq.
🔥$262k today
Ends in 3 months
$4.4m Vol.🔥$262k today$456k Liq.Ends in 3 months
10%
Yes
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
$12.4m Vol.
$490k Liq.
🔥$74k today
5,428
Ends in 9 months
$12.4m Vol.🔥$74k today$490k Liq.5,428Ends in 9 months
30%
Yes
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
$14k Vol.
$201k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$14k Vol.$201k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
5%
Yes
P
Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by...?
$134k Vol.
$13k Liq.
27
Ends in 3 months
$134k Vol.$13k Liq.27Ends in 3 months
36%
Yes
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?
$3k Vol.
$86k Liq.
Ends in about 1 year
$3k Vol.$86k Liq.Ends in about 1 year
39%
Yes
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?
$2k Vol.
$124k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
$2k Vol.$124k Liq.Ends in over 1 year
51%
Yes
I
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?
$4.0m Vol.
$2k Liq.
973
Ends in 3 months
$4.0m Vol.$2k Liq.973Ends in 3 months
20%
June 30
I
18%
June 30
S
Sudan civil war ceasefire by...?
$61k Vol.
$14k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$61k Vol.$14k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
33%
December 31, 2026
U
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?
$1.5m Vol.
$12k Liq.
78
Ends in 3 months
$1.5m Vol.$12k Liq.78Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes
W
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?
$102k Vol.
$43k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
$102k Vol.$43k Liq.3Ends in 7 months
54%
US x Iran Ceasefire
K
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
$11.2m Vol.
$366k Liq.
🔥$579k today
232
Ended
$11.2m Vol.🔥$579k today$366k Liq.232Ended
28%
June 30
U
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
$70k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$70k Vol.$19k Liq.Ends in 3 months
8%
Yes