Chamath Predictions & Odds· 106 markets

R
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on April 15?

100%

Up

$10k Vol.
$47k Liq.
Ended
R
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on April 16?

Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on April 16?

82%

Up

$0 Vol.
$141 Liq.
Ends in about 20 hours
T
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on April 16?

Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on April 16?

56%

Up

$0 Vol.
$132 Liq.
Ends in about 20 hours
P
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on April 16?

Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on April 16?

53%

Up

$0 Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in about 20 hours
P
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on April 15?

100%

Up

$5k Vol.
$43k Liq.
Ended
T
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on April 15?

100%

Up

$18k Vol.
$47k Liq.
Ended
P
Palantir (PLTR) closes week of Apr 13 at ___?

67%

>$140

$804 Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
"
"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

86%

Not revealed in 2026

$12k Vol.
$20k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
W
Will Chamath launch a SPAC in 2025?

Yes

$11k Vol.
$0 Liq.
5
Ended
W
Who will Trump announce to replace Kugler?

Stephen Miran

$87k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended
W
Who will Trump announce as next Fed Chair in 2025?

Trump Presidency · Trump

Who will Trump announce as next Fed Chair in 2025?

No announcement by December 31

$11.6m Vol.
$0 Liq.
93
Ended
T
The Thiel Parlay

All

The Thiel Parlay

$27k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Wormhole Market Cap (FDV) one week after airdrop?

>$7b

$103k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
K
Kentucky Derby Winner

racing · kentucky

Kentucky Derby Winner

Mystik Dan

$59k Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ended
'
'Dune: Part Two' Opening Weekend Box Office

$80m-90m

$1.3m Vol.
$0 Liq.
34
Ended
R
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on April 14?

Up

$7k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
E
Elon Musk post "retardio" in April?

No

$13k Vol.
$0 Liq.
27
Ended
R
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on April 9?

Down

$12k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
P
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on April 7?

Up

$1k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended