Chat Bots Predictions & Odds· 104 markets
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?
$70k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$70k Vol.$24k Liq.Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes
Chatbot Arena: How high will AI score by December 31?
$66k Vol.
$27k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$66k Vol.$27k Liq.Ends in 9 months
61%
↑ 1550
8%
Yes
45%
Yes
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$29k Vol.
$16k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$29k Vol.$16k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
41%
April 30
Which company has the #1 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)
$802k Vol.
$143k Liq.
🔥$142k today
Ends in about 1 month
$802k Vol.🔥$142k today$143k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
85%
Anthropic
Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
$24k Vol.
$36k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$24k Vol.$36k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
44%
None in 2026
ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?
$13k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 7 hours
$13k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in about 7 hours
2%
Yes
Which company has the #2 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)
$13k Vol.
$46k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$13k Vol.$46k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
82%
Anthropic
Which company has the #3 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)
$7k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$7k Vol.$24k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
39%
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?
$1.4m Vol.
$76k Liq.
25
Ends in 3 months
$1.4m Vol.$76k Liq.25Ends in 3 months
28%
OpenAI
Which company has the top AI model end of March? (Style Control On)
$1.0m Vol.
$116k Liq.
1
Ends in about 7 hours
$1.0m Vol.$116k Liq.1Ends in about 7 hours
99%
Anthropic
Which company has the #2 AI model end of March? (Style Control On)
$544k Vol.
$76k Liq.
2
Ends in about 7 hours
$544k Vol.$76k Liq.2Ends in about 7 hours
98%
Anthropic
Which company has the best AI model end of March?
$15.9m Vol.
$1.5m Liq.
🔥$228k today
Ends in about 7 hours
$15.9m Vol.🔥$228k today$1.5m Liq.Ends in about 7 hours
100%
Anthropic
Which company has the #3 AI model end of March? (Style Control On)
$404k Vol.
$67k Liq.
2
Ends in about 7 hours
$404k Vol.$67k Liq.2Ends in about 7 hours
96%
Which company has best AI model end of June?
$2.9m Vol.
$430k Liq.
64
Ends in 3 months
$2.9m Vol.$430k Liq.64Ends in 3 months
65%
Anthropic
gemini · images
Will Gemini generate images of people again in February?
$34k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$34k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended
No
