Climate Change Predictions & Odds· 335 markets
Weather · climate
Max Arctic sea ice extent this winter?
$34k Vol.
$14k Liq.
2
Ends in 1 day
$34k Vol.$14k Liq.2Ends in 1 day
96%
14.2-14.4m sq km
Weather · climate
Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
$28k Vol.
$5k Liq.
6
Ends in 6 months
$28k Vol.$5k Liq.6Ends in 6 months
39%
<4m sq km
Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?
$58k Vol.
$7k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
$58k Vol.$7k Liq.3Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$28k Vol.
$14k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$28k Vol.$14k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
41%
April 30
45%
Yes
17%
Isfahan nuclear facility
What price will Aster hit in 2026?
$64k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$64k Vol.$5k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
72%
↓ 0.40
2026 March 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?
$271k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
$271k Vol.$16k Liq.Ends in 10 days
98%
4th or lower
Science · Weather
2026 April 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?
$2k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$2k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
41%
3rd hottest
89%
April 30
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?
$28k Vol.
$12k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$28k Vol.$12k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
34%
Leadership Change
What will Dow Jones (DJIA) hit in March?
$889 Vol.
$875 Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$889 Vol.$875 Liq.Ends in 1 day
46%
↓ 42600
1%
↑ 700
What price will Chainlink hit in March?
$191k Vol.
$144k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$191k Vol.$144k Liq.Ends in 1 day
32%
↓ 8
What price will Solana hit in 2026?
$539k Vol.
$388k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$539k Vol.$388k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
74%
↓ 60
What price will BNB hit in 2026?
$77k Vol.
$42k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$77k Vol.$42k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
69%
↓ 500
What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?
$22k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$22k Vol.$1k Liq.Ends in 9 months
40%
Yes
What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit in March 2026?
$848k Vol.
$45k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$848k Vol.$45k Liq.Ends in 1 day
34%
↓ $164
50%
Increase