Communication Predictions & Odds· 133 markets

US x Iran ceasefire by...?
$63.1m Vol.
$1.5m Liq.
🔥$2.8m today
1,260
$63.1m Vol.🔥$2.8m today$1.5m Liq.1,260
73%
December 31

Who will Trump talk to in March?
$931k Vol.
$47k Liq.
🔥$404k today
Ends in about 9 hours
$931k Vol.🔥$404k today$47k Liq.Ends in about 9 hours
83%
Xi Jinping

US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?
$54k Vol.
$8k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
$54k Vol.$8k Liq.7Ends in 3 months
30%
Yes

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by...?
$388k Vol.
$40k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
$388k Vol.$40k Liq.8Ends in 3 months
39%
June 30

US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?
$62k Vol.
$15k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
$62k Vol.$15k Liq.6Ends in 3 months
45%
Yes

Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?
$256k Vol.
$50k Liq.
7
Ends in about 1 month
$256k Vol.$50k Liq.7Ends in about 1 month
8%
June 30

Who will Trump talk to in April?
$13k Vol.
$101k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$13k Vol.$101k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
77%
Mark Rutte

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?
$97k Vol.
$34k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
$97k Vol.$34k Liq.3Ends in 7 months
50%
US x Iran Ceasefire

Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by...?
$969k Vol.
$14k Liq.
12
Ends in 9 months
$969k Vol.$14k Liq.12Ends in 9 months
32%
December 31

Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by...?
$764k Vol.
$25k Liq.
12
Ends in 9 months
$764k Vol.$25k Liq.12Ends in 9 months
25%
December 31

Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?
$28k Vol.
$12k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$28k Vol.$12k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
34%
Leadership Change

Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?
$5k Vol.
$11k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$5k Vol.$11k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
26%
Yes

What will Based prediction market revenue hit before 2027?
$14k Vol.
$9k Liq.
29
Ends in 9 months
$14k Vol.$9k Liq.29Ends in 9 months
14%
$1M

Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?
$7k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$7k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in 3 months
13%
Yes

BitBoy convicted?
$310k Vol.
$7k Liq.
29
Ends in about 21 hours
$310k Vol.$7k Liq.29Ends in about 21 hours
6%
Yes

Will Trump declare war on Iran by...?
$556k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours
$556k Vol.$17k Liq.Ends in about 9 hours
23%
April 30

Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by March 31?
$26k Vol.
$9k Liq.
1
Ends in about 9 hours
$26k Vol.$9k Liq.1Ends in about 9 hours
0%
Yes

Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?
$212k Vol.
$15k Liq.
61
Ends in 3 months
$212k Vol.$15k Liq.61Ends in 3 months
8%
Yes

Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
$103k Vol.
$5k Liq.
10
Ends in 9 months
$103k Vol.$5k Liq.10Ends in 9 months
71%
Yes
