Defamation Predictions & Odds· 100 markets
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"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?
$11k Vol.
$14k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$11k Vol.$14k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
61%
Not revealed in 2026
W
What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?
$662k Vol.
$33k Liq.
🔥$133k today
235
$662k Vol.🔥$133k today$33k Liq.235
98%
Yes
W
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?
$116k Vol.
$14k Liq.
29
Ends in 9 months
$116k Vol.$14k Liq.29Ends in 9 months
19%
Yes
D
Don Lemon charges dropped?
$13k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$13k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
11%
Yes
W
Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fradulent?
$17k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$17k Vol.$17k Liq.Ends in 9 months
9%
Yes
P
Pooh Shiesty charged by May 31?
$51 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$51 Vol.$1k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
71%
Yes
M
53%
Yes
W
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?
$282k Vol.
$16k Liq.
43
Ends in 9 months
$282k Vol.$16k Liq.43Ends in 9 months
13%
Yes
E
Epstein client list released by...?
$3.9m Vol.
$27k Liq.
666
Ends in 3 months
$3.9m Vol.$27k Liq.666Ends in 3 months
12%
Yes
L
Culture · Politics
Luigi Mangione tried before 2027?
$0 Vol.
$929 Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$0 Vol.$929 Liq.1Ends in 9 months
79%
Yes
R
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by April 10?
$237 Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
$237 Vol.$12k Liq.Ends in 7 days
57%
Yes
W
Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?
$10k Vol.
$5k Liq.
22
Ended
$10k Vol.$5k Liq.22Ended
30%
Yes
S
SCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter?
$21k Vol.
$2k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$21k Vol.$2k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
90%
Yes
T
Tucker Carlson federally charged?
$24k Vol.
$17k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
$24k Vol.$17k Liq.2Ends in 3 months
8%
Yes
W
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
$93k Vol.
$12k Liq.
15
Ends in 9 months
$93k Vol.$12k Liq.15Ends in 9 months
35%
Yes
W
What will Trump say this week? (April 5)
$30k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$30k Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in 1 day
24%
Mine dropper
P
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?
$203k Vol.
$15k Liq.
34
Ends in 9 months
$203k Vol.$15k Liq.34Ends in 9 months
11%
Yes
M
MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
$14.6m Vol.
$446k Liq.
🔥$112k today
259
Ends in 3 months
$14.6m Vol.🔥$112k today$446k Liq.259Ends in 3 months
66%
>$600M
R
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by April 3?
$11k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ended
$11k Vol.$2k Liq.Ended
27%
Yes