Demographic Predictions & Odds· 108 markets
Israel military action against Beirut on...?
$128k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in about 7 hours
$128k Vol.$25k Liq.Ends in about 7 hours
97%
March 24
Israel military action against Beirut on...?
$33k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$33k Vol.$22k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
72%
April 1
KRG declares independence from Iraq by April 30?
$31k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$31k Vol.$23k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
3%
Yes
Kurds declare independence from Iran?
$108k Vol.
$20k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
$108k Vol.$20k Liq.9Ends in 3 months
14%
Yes
Will Canada's drop in population in 2026 be the largest on record?
$1k Vol.
$3k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 year
$1k Vol.$3k Liq.3Ends in about 1 year
44%
Yes
Turnout in 2025 Honduran General Election (Smaller Brackets)
$97k Vol.
$23k Liq.
57
Ended
$97k Vol.$23k Liq.57Ended
50%
59-60%
68%
55-60%
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 2026?
$0 Vol.
$141 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$0 Vol.$141 Liq.Ends in about 1 month
82%
Up
How many people will Trump deport in 2026?
$19k Vol.
$122k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$19k Vol.$122k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
37%
300-400k
17%
Isfahan nuclear facility
45%
Yes
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$29k Vol.
$16k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$29k Vol.$16k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
41%
April 30
Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?
$24k Vol.
$9k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$24k Vol.$9k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
16%
Yes
76%
Up
19%
115-120m
Zelenskyy # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$578 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$578 Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 8 days
47%
60-79
Zelenskyy # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$3k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$3k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in 4 days
40%
60-79
Zelenskyy # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?
$19k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in about 23 hours
$19k Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in about 23 hours
90%
60-79
72%
4.0–5.0%
Turnout in 2026 Hungary Parliamentary Election
$84k Vol.
$63k Liq.
1
Ends in 12 days
$84k Vol.$63k Liq.1Ends in 12 days
46%
71–74%