Department Of Homeland Security Predictions & Odds· 116 markets

When will the DHS shutdown end?

When will the DHS shutdown end?

$517k Vol.
$146k Liq.
🔥$114k today
Ends in about 1 month

37%

After April 30

How long will the DHS shutdown last?

How long will the DHS shutdown last?

$1.1m Vol.
$36k Liq.
Ended

99%

48+ days

When will the DHS shutdown end?

When will the DHS shutdown end?

$1.6m Vol.
$82k Liq.
Ends in about 10 hours

100%

After March 31

Who will vote "Yea" on the DHS Appropriations Act, 2026 by March 31?

Who will vote "Yea" on the DHS Appropriations Act, 2026 by March 31?

$80k Vol.
$64k Liq.
1
Ends in about 10 hours

13%

Catherine Cortez Masto

Will Elon Musk pay TSA salaries?

Will Elon Musk pay TSA salaries?

$34k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 14 days

1%

Yes

Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

$17k Vol.
$12k Liq.
9
Ends in 9 months

5%

Yes

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

$28k Vol.
$17k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month

41%

April 30

Minneapolis Border Patrol Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?

Minneapolis Border Patrol Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?

$82k Vol.
$20k Liq.
8
Ends in about 10 hours

1%

Yes

ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?

ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?

$312k Vol.
$11k Liq.
27
Ends in about 10 hours

0%

Yes

Anyone charged for doxing Delta Force commander heading Maduro grab by March 31?

Anyone charged for doxing Delta Force commander heading Maduro grab by March 31?

$3k Vol.
$920 Liq.
2
Ends in about 10 hours

2%

Yes

Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?

Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?

$733k Vol.
$9k Liq.
146
Ends in about 10 hours

1%

Yes

Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?

Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?

$24k Vol.
$12k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months

16%

Yes

ICE shooter charged by March 31?

ICE shooter charged by March 31?

$600k Vol.
$17k Liq.
170
Ended

1%

Yes

Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?

Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?

$7k Vol.
$954 Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months

71%

December 31, 2026

U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by...?

U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by...?

$1.4m Vol.
$45k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

28%

June 30

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

$374k Vol.
$23k Liq.
62

17%

Isfahan nuclear facility

Will anyone charged over daycare fraud in MN be deported by March 31?

Will anyone charged over daycare fraud in MN be deported by March 31?

$35k Vol.
$8k Liq.
3
Ends in about 10 hours

0%

Yes

When will DHS receive full-year funding?

When will DHS receive full-year funding?

$295k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended

February 28

ICE forced to unmask by February 28?

ICE forced to unmask by February 28?

$81k Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ended

No

Will Trump denaturalize any citizen by June 30?

Will Trump denaturalize any citizen by June 30?

$20k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months

Yes