Detain Predictions & Odds· 149 markets
Les Wexner arrested by March 31?
$20k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours
$20k Vol.$14k Liq.Ends in about 9 hours
0%
Yes
Iran leadership change by...?
$5.3m Vol.
$220k Liq.
🔥$135k today
887
Ends in 9 months
$5.3m Vol.🔥$135k today$220k Liq.887Ends in 9 months
50%
December 31
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
$7.6m Vol.
$172k Liq.
705
Ends in 9 months
$7.6m Vol.$172k Liq.705Ends in 9 months
8%
Yes
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 31?
$109k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours
$109k Vol.$13k Liq.Ends in about 9 hours
2%
Yes
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
$3.2m Vol.
$219k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$3.2m Vol.$219k Liq.Ends in 9 months
13%
Yes
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
$299k Vol.
$38k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$299k Vol.$38k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
18%
Yes
Eric Adams arrested by March 31?
$16k Vol.
$15k Liq.
2
Ends in about 9 hours
$16k Vol.$15k Liq.2Ends in about 9 hours
0%
Yes
Jang Dong-hyeok out as PPP Leader by March 31, 2026?
$135k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours
$135k Vol.$9k Liq.Ends in about 9 hours
0%
Yes
Maduro exiled to Russia by March 31?
$171k Vol.
$15k Liq.
6
Ends in about 9 hours
$171k Vol.$15k Liq.6Ends in about 9 hours
0%
Yes
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?
$8k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$8k Vol.$18k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
21%
April 30
Netanyahu arrested by March 31?
$137k Vol.
$15k Liq.
4
Ends in about 9 hours
$137k Vol.$15k Liq.4Ends in about 9 hours
0%
Yes
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?
$901k Vol.
$45k Liq.
46
Ends in 3 months
$901k Vol.$45k Liq.46Ends in 3 months
59%
December 31
Geopolitics · World
Xi Jinping out by June 30?
$1.7m Vol.
$67k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$1.7m Vol.$67k Liq.Ends in 3 months
3%
Yes
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 15?
$9k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 15 days
$9k Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in 15 days
32%
Yes
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
$1.0m Vol.
$85k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$1.0m Vol.$85k Liq.Ends in 3 months
4%
Yes
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?
$390k Vol.
$12k Liq.
16
Ends in about 9 hours
$390k Vol.$12k Liq.16Ends in about 9 hours
4%
Yes
Masoud Pezeshkian out by...?
$493k Vol.
$50k Liq.
29
Ends in 9 months
$493k Vol.$50k Liq.29Ends in 9 months
38%
December 31
World · Politics
Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?
$62k Vol.
$51k Liq.
15
Ends in 9 months
$62k Vol.$51k Liq.15Ends in 9 months
67%
Yes
José Luís Rodríguez Zapatero arrested by March 31?
$144k Vol.
$9k Liq.
32
Ends in about 9 hours
$144k Vol.$9k Liq.32Ends in about 9 hours
0%
Yes
Geopolitics · Politics
Nicolas Sarkozy in jail by March 31?
$59k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours
$59k Vol.$18k Liq.Ends in about 9 hours
0%
Yes