Detain Predictions & Odds· 276 markets

I
Iran leadership change by...?

Iran leadership change by...?

$6.0m Vol.
$295k Liq.
🔥$211k today
892
Ends in 9 months

33%

December 31

X
Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

$7.7m Vol.
$295k Liq.
🔥$57k today
705
Ends in 9 months

8%

Yes

P
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

$3.4m Vol.
$340k Liq.
🔥$55k today
Ends in 9 months

11%

Yes

M
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?

$963k Vol.
$31k Liq.
47
Ends in 3 months

49%

December 31

E
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

$323k Vol.
$31k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months

17%

Yes

X
Xi Jinping out by June 30?

Geopolitics · World

Xi Jinping out by June 30?

$1.7m Vol.
$73k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

2%

Yes

U
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 15?

U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 15?

$29k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 13 days

19%

Yes

N
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

$405k Vol.
$21k Liq.
17
Ended

24%

June 30, 2026

H
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain?

Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain?

$120k Vol.
$19k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months

11%

Yes

V
Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?

World · Politics

Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?

$72k Vol.
$25k Liq.
15
Ends in 9 months

69%

Yes

P
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

$1.0m Vol.
$76k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

3%

Yes

M
Masoud Pezeshkian out by...?

Masoud Pezeshkian out by...?

$510k Vol.
$49k Liq.
29
Ends in 9 months

39%

December 31

D
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by...?

Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by...?

$590k Vol.
$16k Liq.
12
Ends in 9 months

22%

Yes

P
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?

Geopolitics · Politics

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?

$103k Vol.
$34k Liq.
28
Ends in 9 months

24%

December 31, 2026

A
Anthropic CEO arrested?

Anthropic CEO arrested?

$142k Vol.
$26k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months

3%

Yes

E
Evo Morales arrested by May 31

Evo Morales arrested by May 31

$1k Vol.
$6k Liq.
1
Ends in about 2 months

19%

Yes

I
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?

Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?

$30k Vol.
$9k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months

22%

Leadership Change

M
Mohammed bin Salman out as leader of Saudi Arabia by...?

Mohammed bin Salman out as leader of Saudi Arabia by...?

$2k Vol.
$30k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

25%

September 30

A
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?

Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?

$122k Vol.
$10k Liq.
32
Ends in 9 months

84%

Yes

G
Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30?

Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30?

$44k Vol.
$17k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months

56%

Yes