Diplomacy Predictions & Odds· 143 markets
U
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?
$1.3m Vol.
$73k Liq.
🔥$71k today
Ended
$1.3m Vol.🔥$71k today$73k Liq.Ended
59%
June 30
W
Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?
$490k Vol.
$185k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
$490k Vol.$185k Liq.9Ends in 3 months
42%
No Meeting by June 30
J
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by...?
$270k Vol.
$41k Liq.
6
Ends in 28 days
$270k Vol.$41k Liq.6Ends in 28 days
14%
April 30
U
US x Iran ceasefire by...?
$81.3m Vol.
$2.6m Liq.
🔥$7.5m today
1,408
$81.3m Vol.🔥$7.5m today$2.6m Liq.1,408
73%
December 31
I
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?
$12.0m Vol.
$1.1m Liq.
🔥$1.5m today
371
Ended
$12.0m Vol.🔥$1.5m today$1.1m Liq.371Ended
88%
December 31
T
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?
$11.0m Vol.
$507k Liq.
🔥$1.4m today
213
Ends in 3 months
$11.0m Vol.🔥$1.4m today$507k Liq.213Ends in 3 months
78%
June 30
U
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
$127k Vol.
$59k Liq.
🔥$108k today
2
Ends in about 2 months
$127k Vol.🔥$108k today$59k Liq.2Ends in about 2 months
16%
Yes
U
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
$234k Vol.
$130k Liq.
🔥$58k today
Ends in 28 days
$234k Vol.🔥$58k today$130k Liq.Ends in 28 days
5%
Yes
U
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
$964k Vol.
$30k Liq.
53
Ends in 3 months
$964k Vol.$30k Liq.53Ends in 3 months
25%
Yes
I
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by...?
$432k Vol.
$35k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
$432k Vol.$35k Liq.8Ends in 3 months
41%
June 30
I
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
$199k Vol.
$99k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
$199k Vol.$99k Liq.Ends in 28 days
6%
Yes
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
$74k Vol.
$78k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$74k Vol.$78k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
31%
December 31
U
US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?
$96k Vol.
$20k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
$96k Vol.$20k Liq.9Ends in 3 months
27%
Yes
W
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$43k Vol.
$12k Liq.
13
Ends in 28 days
$43k Vol.$12k Liq.13Ends in 28 days
18%
April 30
W
Will Vance visit the Middle East by..?
$132k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
$132k Vol.$20k Liq.Ends in 28 days
6%
Yes
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
$164k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$164k Vol.$25k Liq.Ends in 3 months
16%
Yes
U
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?
$75k Vol.
$22k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
$75k Vol.$22k Liq.6Ends in 3 months
53%
Yes
I
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?
$31k Vol.
$9k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$31k Vol.$9k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
22%
Leadership Change
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
$1k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$1k Vol.$17k Liq.Ends in 9 months
28%
Yes