Diplomacy Predictions & Odds· 135 markets
U
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?
$1.3m Vol.
$71k Liq.
🔥$73k today
Ended
$1.3m Vol.🔥$73k today$71k Liq.Ended
58%
June 30
W
Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?
$490k Vol.
$196k Liq.
10
Ends in 3 months
$490k Vol.$196k Liq.10Ends in 3 months
42%
No Meeting by June 30
J
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by...?
$270k Vol.
$41k Liq.
6
Ends in 28 days
$270k Vol.$41k Liq.6Ends in 28 days
14%
April 30
U
US x Iran ceasefire by...?
$81.1m Vol.
$2.4m Liq.
🔥$7.9m today
1,405
$81.1m Vol.🔥$7.9m today$2.4m Liq.1,405
73%
December 31
I
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?
$11.9m Vol.
$1.0m Liq.
🔥$1.5m today
371
Ended
$11.9m Vol.🔥$1.5m today$1.0m Liq.371Ended
88%
December 31
T
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?
$10.9m Vol.
$445k Liq.
🔥$1.5m today
213
Ends in 3 months
$10.9m Vol.🔥$1.5m today$445k Liq.213Ends in 3 months
77%
June 30
U
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
$124k Vol.
$39k Liq.
🔥$107k today
1
Ends in about 2 months
$124k Vol.🔥$107k today$39k Liq.1Ends in about 2 months
17%
Yes
U
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
$233k Vol.
$131k Liq.
🔥$61k today
Ends in 28 days
$233k Vol.🔥$61k today$131k Liq.Ends in 28 days
5%
Yes
I
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by...?
$430k Vol.
$38k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
$430k Vol.$38k Liq.8Ends in 3 months
41%
June 30
U
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
$964k Vol.
$30k Liq.
53
Ends in 3 months
$964k Vol.$30k Liq.53Ends in 3 months
25%
Yes
I
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
$199k Vol.
$76k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
$199k Vol.$76k Liq.Ends in 28 days
6%
Yes
U
US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?
$96k Vol.
$13k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
$96k Vol.$13k Liq.9Ends in 3 months
28%
Yes
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
$69k Vol.
$72k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$69k Vol.$72k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
33%
December 31
W
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$42k Vol.
$12k Liq.
13
Ends in 28 days
$42k Vol.$12k Liq.13Ends in 28 days
25%
April 30
W
Will Vance visit the Middle East by..?
$132k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
$132k Vol.$21k Liq.Ends in 28 days
6%
Yes
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
$164k Vol.
$28k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$164k Vol.$28k Liq.Ends in 3 months
16%
Yes
U
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?
$75k Vol.
$21k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
$75k Vol.$21k Liq.6Ends in 3 months
52%
Yes
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
$1k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$1k Vol.$17k Liq.Ends in 9 months
28%
Yes
I
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?
$30k Vol.
$11k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$30k Vol.$11k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
22%
Leadership Change