Economic Forecasting Predictions & Odds· 166 markets
US x Cuba economic deal by...?
$81k Vol.
$20k Liq.
15
Ends in 3 months
$81k Vol.$20k Liq.15Ends in 3 months
40%
June 30
US recession by end of 2026?
$918k Vol.
$71k Liq.
48
Ends in 10 months
$918k Vol.$71k Liq.48Ends in 10 months
38%
Yes
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?
$2.5m Vol.
$158k Liq.
🔥$196k today
Ends in 9 months
$2.5m Vol.🔥$196k today$158k Liq.Ends in 9 months
57%
Lori Chavez-DeRemer
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
$933k Vol.
$57k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$933k Vol.$57k Liq.Ends in 3 months
7%
Yes
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
$328k Vol.
$16k Liq.
36
Ends in 3 months
$328k Vol.$16k Liq.36Ends in 3 months
50%
Yes
Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by...?
$78k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 15 days
$78k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 15 days
51%
April 15
77%
Up
15%
Yes
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in February, 2026?
$6k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours
$6k Vol.$1k Liq.Ends in about 9 hours
9%
Up
30%
3.5-3.9%
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 2026?
$0 Vol.
$140 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$0 Vol.$140 Liq.Ends in about 1 month
82%
Up
34%
800–900B
37%
1.5–1.9%
Fed decision in April?
$38.9m Vol.
$3.2m Liq.
🔥$2.1m today
18
Ends in 29 days
$38.9m Vol.🔥$2.1m today$3.2m Liq.18Ends in 29 days
97%
No change
Fed Decision in July?
$2.6m Vol.
$242k Liq.
🔥$408k today
Ends in 4 months
$2.6m Vol.🔥$408k today$242k Liq.Ends in 4 months
78%
No change
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
$5.9m Vol.
$276k Liq.
🔥$285k today
8
Ends in 8 months
$5.9m Vol.🔥$285k today$276k Liq.8Ends in 8 months
29%
3.75%
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
$14.7m Vol.
$1.1m Liq.
🔥$275k today
58
Ends in 9 months
$14.7m Vol.🔥$275k today$1.1m Liq.58Ends in 9 months
35%
0 (0 bps)
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
$1.3m Vol.
$205k Liq.
🔥$246k today
18
Ends in 9 months
$1.3m Vol.🔥$246k today$205k Liq.18Ends in 9 months
67%
↓ 3.25%