Economic Forecasting Predictions & Odds· 164 markets
US x Cuba economic deal by...?
$81k Vol.
$28k Liq.
15
Ends in 3 months
$81k Vol.$28k Liq.15Ends in 3 months
38%
June 30
US recession by end of 2026?
$919k Vol.
$72k Liq.
50
Ends in 10 months
$919k Vol.$72k Liq.50Ends in 10 months
37%
Yes
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?
$2.5m Vol.
$196k Liq.
🔥$116k today
Ends in 9 months
$2.5m Vol.🔥$116k today$196k Liq.Ends in 9 months
57%
Lori Chavez-DeRemer
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
$936k Vol.
$88k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$936k Vol.$88k Liq.Ends in 3 months
7%
Yes
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
$328k Vol.
$21k Liq.
36
Ends in 3 months
$328k Vol.$21k Liq.36Ends in 3 months
50%
Yes
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026?
$10k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 11 months
$10k Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 11 months
81%
Up
Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by...?
$78k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 15 days
$78k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 15 days
51%
April 15
Negative GDP growth in 2026?
$16k Vol.
$9k Liq.
11
Ends in 10 months
$16k Vol.$9k Liq.11Ends in 10 months
15%
Yes
34%
800–900B
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in February, 2026?
$6k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 6 hours
$6k Vol.$1k Liq.Ends in about 6 hours
9%
Up
Canada Annual Inflation 2026
$16k Vol.
$12k Liq.
1
Ends in 10 months
$16k Vol.$12k Liq.1Ends in 10 months
28%
3.5-3.9%
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 2026?
$0 Vol.
$147 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$0 Vol.$147 Liq.Ends in about 1 month
82%
Up
37%
1.5–1.9%
Fed decision in April?
$39.0m Vol.
$3.3m Liq.
🔥$2.1m today
21
Ends in 29 days
$39.0m Vol.🔥$2.1m today$3.3m Liq.21Ends in 29 days
97%
No change
Fed Decision in July?
$2.7m Vol.
$264k Liq.
🔥$476k today
Ends in 4 months
$2.7m Vol.🔥$476k today$264k Liq.Ends in 4 months
78%
No change
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
$14.7m Vol.
$1.2m Liq.
🔥$277k today
58
Ends in 9 months
$14.7m Vol.🔥$277k today$1.2m Liq.58Ends in 9 months
35%
0 (0 bps)
Fed Decision in June?
$4.7m Vol.
$901k Liq.
🔥$210k today
13
Ends in 3 months
$4.7m Vol.🔥$210k today$901k Liq.13Ends in 3 months
88%
No change
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
$5.9m Vol.
$330k Liq.
🔥$213k today
8
Ends in 8 months
$5.9m Vol.🔥$213k today$330k Liq.8Ends in 8 months
35%
3.75%