Elon Vspt Open AI Predictions & Odds· 136 markets
W
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
$91k Vol.
$12k Liq.
15
Ends in 9 months
$91k Vol.$12k Liq.15Ends in 9 months
34%
Yes
W
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
$57k Vol.
$7k Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
$57k Vol.$7k Liq.1Ends in over 1 year
96%
SpaceX
S
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?
$7k Vol.
$3k Liq.
5
Ends in over 1 year
$7k Vol.$3k Liq.5Ends in over 1 year
78%
SpaceX
O
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?
$100k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
$100k Vol.$5k Liq.1Ends in 3 months
26%
Yes
C
7%
Yes
O
24%
Yes
�
62%
April 30
W
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
$51k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
$51k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in over 1 year
68%
Anthropic
E
Sports · Basketball
Elon Phoenix vs. Stony Brook Seawolves (W)
$43 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$43 Vol.$0 Liq.Ended
Stony Brook Seawolves
C
63%
April 17
O
12%
Yes
W
Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?
$0 Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$0 Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in 3 months
37%
Yes
E
Elon Musk # tweets April 2 - April 4, 2026?
$29k Vol.
$51k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$29k Vol.$51k Liq.Ends in 4 days
34%
65-89
E
17%
Yes
O
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
$45k Vol.
$6k Liq.
10
Ends in 9 months
$45k Vol.$6k Liq.10Ends in 9 months
22%
Yes
A
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
$27k Vol.
$1k Liq.
4
Ends in 9 months
$27k Vol.$1k Liq.4Ends in 9 months
28%
Yes
E
Elon Musk # tweets April 3 - April 10, 2026?
$5k Vol.
$105k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
$5k Vol.$105k Liq.Ends in 10 days
12%
240-259
N
Sports · Basketball
Northeastern Huskies vs. Elon Phoenix (W)
$69 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$69 Vol.$0 Liq.Ended
Elon Phoenix