Elon Vspt Open AI Predictions & Odds· 124 markets
W
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
$93k Vol.
$15k Liq.
15
Ends in 9 months
$93k Vol.$15k Liq.15Ends in 9 months
38%
Yes
W
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
$57k Vol.
$7k Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
$57k Vol.$7k Liq.1Ends in over 1 year
96%
SpaceX
S
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?
$7k Vol.
$3k Liq.
5
Ends in over 1 year
$7k Vol.$3k Liq.5Ends in over 1 year
78%
SpaceX
O
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?
$102k Vol.
$9k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
$102k Vol.$9k Liq.2Ends in 3 months
6%
Yes
C
6%
Yes
O
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
$243k Vol.
$9k Liq.
11
Ends in 9 months
$243k Vol.$9k Liq.11Ends in 9 months
24%
Yes
O
77%
Yes
�
61%
April 30
W
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
$51k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
$51k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in over 1 year
57%
Anthropic
E
Sports · Basketball
Elon Phoenix vs. Stony Brook Seawolves (W)
$43 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$43 Vol.$0 Liq.Ended
Stony Brook Seawolves
C
65%
April 17
O
12%
Yes
W
Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?
$0 Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$0 Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in 3 months
37%
Yes
E
Elon Musk # tweets April 2 - April 4, 2026?
$284k Vol.
$116k Liq.
🔥$164k today
Ends in 2 days
$284k Vol.🔥$164k today$116k Liq.Ends in 2 days
37%
65-89
E
17%
Yes
O
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
$45k Vol.
$8k Liq.
10
Ends in 9 months
$45k Vol.$8k Liq.10Ends in 9 months
19%
Yes
A
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
$27k Vol.
$4k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$27k Vol.$4k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
30%
Yes
O
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
$1.4m Vol.
$19k Liq.
2
Ends in over 1 year
$1.4m Vol.$19k Liq.2Ends in over 1 year
75%
$800B
E
Elon Musk # tweets April 3 - April 10, 2026?
$575k Vol.
$1.4m Liq.
🔥$249k today
Ends in 8 days
$575k Vol.🔥$249k today$1.4m Liq.Ends in 8 days
14%
260-279
N
Sports · Basketball
Northeastern Huskies vs. Elon Phoenix (W)
$69 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$69 Vol.$0 Liq.Ended
Elon Phoenix