European Union Predictions & Odds· 112 markets
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?
$12k Vol.
$17k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$12k Vol.$17k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
14%
Yes
Politics · World
EU dissolves before 2027?
$159k Vol.
$34k Liq.
7
Ends in 9 months
$159k Vol.$34k Liq.7Ends in 9 months
4%
Yes
Politics · Geopolitics
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?
$109k Vol.
$43k Liq.
12
Ends in 9 months
$109k Vol.$43k Liq.12Ends in 9 months
7%
Yes
Politics · Economy
Any EU nation's debt downgraded before 2027?
$0 Vol.
$1k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$0 Vol.$1k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
61%
Yes
Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?
$140k Vol.
$202k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$140k Vol.$202k Liq.Ends in 9 months
25%
India
Will another country boycott Eurovision 2026 by March 31, 2026?
$20k Vol.
$3k Liq.
6
Ends in about 13 hours
$20k Vol.$3k Liq.6Ends in about 13 hours
1%
Yes
Sports · Games
European Rugby Champions Cup: Union Bordeaux Begles vs Leicester Tigers
$190 Vol.
$412 Liq.
Ends in 13 days
$190 Vol.$412 Liq.Ends in 13 days
56%
Union Bordeaux Begles
World · Economy
EU debt downgrade before 2027?
$702 Vol.
$3k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$702 Vol.$3k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
45%
Yes
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
$99k Vol.
$14k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
$99k Vol.$14k Liq.11Ends in 3 months
13%
Yes
47%
Yes
17%
Isfahan nuclear facility
Sports · Games
European Rugby Champions Cup: Leinster vs Edinburgh
$0 Vol.
$442 Liq.
Ends in 13 days
$0 Vol.$442 Liq.Ends in 13 days
63%
Leinster
Will any European country expel a U.S. ambassador by March 31?
$44k Vol.
$17k Liq.
2
Ends in about 13 hours
$44k Vol.$17k Liq.2Ends in about 13 hours
0%
Yes
MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
$14.0m Vol.
$434k Liq.
255
Ends in 3 months
$14.0m Vol.$434k Liq.255Ends in 3 months
44%
>$600M
Sports · Games
United Rugby Championship: Benetton Treviso vs Munster
$108 Vol.
$169 Liq.
Ends in 26 days
$108 Vol.$169 Liq.Ends in 26 days
52%
Munster
Sports · Games
United Rugby Championship: Benetton Treviso vs Leinster
$0 Vol.
$45 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$0 Vol.$45 Liq.Ends in about 1 month
52%
Benetton Treviso
Sports · Games
European Rugby Champions Cup: Glasgow Warriors vs Bulls
$0 Vol.
$98 Liq.
Ends in 12 days
$0 Vol.$98 Liq.Ends in 12 days
56%
Glasgow Warriors
Sports · Games
European Rugby Champions Cup: Bath vs Saracens
$0 Vol.
$91 Liq.
Ends in 12 days
$0 Vol.$91 Liq.Ends in 12 days
54%
Bath
Will any European country expel an Israeli ambassador by March 31?
$125k Vol.
$15k Liq.
21
Ends in about 13 hours
$125k Vol.$15k Liq.21Ends in about 13 hours
0%
Yes