European Union Predictions & Odds· 111 markets

Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?
$12k Vol.
$17k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$12k Vol.$17k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
14%
Yes

Politics · World
EU dissolves before 2027?
$159k Vol.
$35k Liq.
7
Ends in 9 months
$159k Vol.$35k Liq.7Ends in 9 months
4%
Yes

Politics · Geopolitics
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?
$109k Vol.
$43k Liq.
12
Ends in 9 months
$109k Vol.$43k Liq.12Ends in 9 months
7%
Yes

Politics · Economy
Any EU nation's debt downgraded before 2027?
$0 Vol.
$2k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$0 Vol.$2k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
61%
Yes

Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?
$140k Vol.
$211k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$140k Vol.$211k Liq.Ends in 9 months
25%
India

Will another country boycott Eurovision 2026 by March 31, 2026?
$20k Vol.
$3k Liq.
6
Ends in about 11 hours
$20k Vol.$3k Liq.6Ends in about 11 hours
1%
Yes
Sports · Games
European Rugby Champions Cup: Union Bordeaux Begles vs Leicester Tigers
$190 Vol.
$444 Liq.
Ends in 13 days
$190 Vol.$444 Liq.Ends in 13 days
56%
Union Bordeaux Begles

World · Economy
EU debt downgrade before 2027?
$749 Vol.
$219 Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$749 Vol.$219 Liq.2Ends in 9 months
48%
Yes

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
$99k Vol.
$12k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
$99k Vol.$12k Liq.11Ends in 3 months
12%
Yes

46%
Yes

17%
Isfahan nuclear facility
Sports · Games
European Rugby Champions Cup: Leinster vs Edinburgh
$0 Vol.
$321 Liq.
Ends in 13 days
$0 Vol.$321 Liq.Ends in 13 days
63%
Leinster

Will any European country expel a U.S. ambassador by March 31?
$44k Vol.
$16k Liq.
2
Ends in about 11 hours
$44k Vol.$16k Liq.2Ends in about 11 hours
0%
Yes

MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
$14.0m Vol.
$437k Liq.
254
Ends in 3 months
$14.0m Vol.$437k Liq.254Ends in 3 months
43%
>$600M
Sports · Games
United Rugby Championship: Benetton Treviso vs Munster
$108 Vol.
$169 Liq.
Ends in 26 days
$108 Vol.$169 Liq.Ends in 26 days
52%
Munster
Sports · Games
United Rugby Championship: Benetton Treviso vs Leinster
$0 Vol.
$43 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$0 Vol.$43 Liq.Ends in about 1 month
51%
Benetton Treviso
Sports · Games
European Rugby Champions Cup: Glasgow Warriors vs Bulls
$0 Vol.
$216 Liq.
Ends in 12 days
$0 Vol.$216 Liq.Ends in 12 days
56%
Glasgow Warriors
Sports · Games
European Rugby Champions Cup: Bath vs Saracens
$0 Vol.
$195 Liq.
Ends in 12 days
$0 Vol.$195 Liq.Ends in 12 days
54%
Bath


Will any European country expel an Israeli ambassador by March 31?
$125k Vol.
$14k Liq.
21
Ends in about 11 hours
$125k Vol.$14k Liq.21Ends in about 11 hours
0%
Yes