Gemini Predictions & Odds· 115 markets
Google Gemini score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?
$49k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$49k Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 3 months
95%
40%+
Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?
$30k Vol.
$15k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
$30k Vol.$15k Liq.8Ends in 3 months
17%
Yes
Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?
$203k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in about 14 hours
$203k Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in about 14 hours
96%
40%+
Gemini 3.5 released by...?
$806k Vol.
$85k Liq.
49
Ends in 3 months
$806k Vol.$85k Liq.49Ends in 3 months
49%
June 30
Big AI out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?
$894 Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 16 days
$894 Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in 16 days
77%
April 15
Which company has the best AI model end of March?
$15.9m Vol.
$2.3m Liq.
🔥$285k today
Ends in about 14 hours
$15.9m Vol.🔥$285k today$2.3m Liq.Ends in about 14 hours
100%
Anthropic
Which company has the #2 AI model end of March? (Style Control On)
$540k Vol.
$117k Liq.
2
Ends in about 14 hours
$540k Vol.$117k Liq.2Ends in about 14 hours
98%
Anthropic
Which company has the top AI model end of March? (Style Control On)
$999k Vol.
$110k Liq.
1
Ends in about 14 hours
$999k Vol.$110k Liq.1Ends in about 14 hours
98%
Anthropic
Which company has the #3 AI model end of March? (Style Control On)
$384k Vol.
$68k Liq.
2
Ends in about 14 hours
$384k Vol.$68k Liq.2Ends in about 14 hours
96%
Which company has the third best AI model end of March?
$525k Vol.
$93k Liq.
Ends in about 14 hours
$525k Vol.$93k Liq.Ends in about 14 hours
99%
#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 31?
$15k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 14 hours
$15k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in about 14 hours
98%
ChatGPT
Which company has the second best AI model end of March?
$617k Vol.
$108k Liq.
1
Ends in about 14 hours
$617k Vol.$108k Liq.1Ends in about 14 hours
99%
Anthropic
#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 31?
$5k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 14 hours
$5k Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in about 14 hours
92%
Claude by Anthropic
47%
Yes
What price will Lighter hit in 2026?
$595k Vol.
$36k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$595k Vol.$36k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
17%
↑ $4
What price will Aster hit in 2026?
$64k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$64k Vol.$5k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
72%
↓ 0.40
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$28k Vol.
$12k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$28k Vol.$12k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
42%
April 30
What price will Plasma hit in 2026?
$291k Vol.
$2k Liq.
10
Ends in 9 months
$291k Vol.$2k Liq.10Ends in 9 months
51%
↑ 0.50
MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
$14.0m Vol.
$432k Liq.
255
Ends in 3 months
$14.0m Vol.$432k Liq.255Ends in 3 months
44%
>$600M
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
$52.5m Vol.
$2.4m Liq.
🔥$1.1m today
Ends in 9 months
$52.5m Vol.🔥$1.1m today$2.4m Liq.Ends in 9 months
4%
Yes