General Predictions & Odds· 315 markets

Quebec General Election Winner
$370k Vol.
$70k Liq.
🔥$67k today
46
Ends in 6 months
$370k Vol.🔥$67k today$70k Liq.46Ends in 6 months
60%
PQ

67%
55-60%

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?
$390k Vol.
$12k Liq.
17
Ends in about 4 hours
$390k Vol.$12k Liq.17Ends in about 4 hours
51%
April 30, 2026

Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by...?
$158k Vol.
$11k Liq.
8
Ends in 9 months
$158k Vol.$11k Liq.8Ends in 9 months
74%
December 31

Turnout in 2025 Honduran General Election (Smaller Brackets)
$97k Vol.
$22k Liq.
57
Ended
$97k Vol.$22k Liq.57Ended
50%
59-60%

Texas Attorney General Republican Primary Runoff Winner
$3k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$3k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
79%
Mayes Middleton

46%
Amina Mohammed

98%
Beinir Johannesen

Parties advancing from the California Governor primary?
$45k Vol.
$30k Liq.
2
Ends in 2 months
$45k Vol.$30k Liq.2Ends in 2 months
69%
Dem-Rep

90%
Marie Gluesenkamp Perez

Ethiopia Parliamentary Election Winner
$2k Vol.
$15k Liq.
7
Ends in 2 months
$2k Vol.$15k Liq.7Ends in 2 months
92%
Prosperity

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
$29.5m Vol.
$389k Liq.
🔥$557k today
20,364
Ends in about 4 hours
$29.5m Vol.🔥$557k today$389k Liq.20,364Ends in about 4 hours
0%
Yes

Next President of Vietnam
$27.5m Vol.
$467k Liq.
🔥$516k today
237
Ended
$27.5m Vol.🔥$516k today$467k Liq.237Ended
93%
Tô Lâm

Peru Presidential Election Winner
$4.5m Vol.
$598k Liq.
🔥$204k today
662
Ends in 12 days
$4.5m Vol.🔥$204k today$598k Liq.662Ends in 12 days
33%
Rafael López Aliaga

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of March?
$1.6m Vol.
$56k Liq.
🔥$164k today
Ends in about 4 hours
$1.6m Vol.🔥$164k today$56k Liq.Ends in about 4 hours
96%
0-10

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
$1.6m Vol.
$94k Liq.
🔥$92k today
102
Ends in about 1 month
$1.6m Vol.🔥$92k today$94k Liq.102Ends in about 1 month
24%
Yes

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
$1.1m Vol.
$225k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$1.1m Vol.$225k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
3%
Yes

Which party will win the House in 2026?
$4.1m Vol.
$458k Liq.
1
Ends in 7 months
$4.1m Vol.$458k Liq.1Ends in 7 months
85%
Democratic Party

Who will advance from the California Governor primary?
$379k Vol.
$352k Liq.
1
Ends in 2 months
$379k Vol.$352k Liq.1Ends in 2 months
65%
Eric Swalwell

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz on April 3?
$331k Vol.
$45k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
$331k Vol.$45k Liq.Ends in 3 days
87%
0-10