Geopolitics Predictions & Odds· 2054 markets

US forces enter Iran by..?

US forces enter Iran by..?

$54.0m Vol.
$1.6m Liq.
🔥$7.7m today
5,085

76%

December 31

Netanyahu out by...?

Netanyahu out by...?

$89.2m Vol.
$4.6m Liq.
🔥$6.0m today
32
Ends in 9 months

44%

December 31

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

$58.2m Vol.
$2.5m Liq.
🔥$4.1m today
2
Ends in about 8 hours

0%

Yes

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of March?

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of March?

$75.3m Vol.
$5.4m Liq.
🔥$3.8m today
3
Ends in about 8 hours

96%

↑ $100

US x Iran ceasefire by...?

US x Iran ceasefire by...?

$63.2m Vol.
$1.5m Liq.
🔥$2.8m today
1,264

73%

December 31

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

$9.2m Vol.
$365k Liq.
🔥$656k today
216
Ends in 1 day

44%

June 30

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

$5.5m Vol.
$138k Liq.
🔥$635k today
2
Ends in 9 months

28%

5

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

$29.5m Vol.
$389k Liq.
🔥$557k today
20,363
Ends in about 8 hours

0%

Yes

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

$22.8m Vol.
$1.4m Liq.
🔥$502k today
3
Ends in 3 months

17%

Yes

Hezbollah military action against Israel on...?

Hezbollah military action against Israel on...?

$2.4m Vol.
$16k Liq.
🔥$494k today
1
Ends in about 8 hours

91%

March 30

Who will Trump talk to in March?

Who will Trump talk to in March?

$963k Vol.
$44k Liq.
🔥$429k today
Ends in about 8 hours

75%

Xi Jinping

Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?

Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?

$5.1m Vol.
$121k Liq.
🔥$394k today
Ends in about 8 hours

4%

Yes

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?

$7.8m Vol.
$321k Liq.
🔥$360k today
158
Ends in 3 months

69%

June 30

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

$14.7m Vol.
$536k Liq.
🔥$359k today
71
Ends in 9 months

10%

Yes

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?

$648k Vol.
$143k Liq.
🔥$348k today
17
Ends in about 1 month

27%

United States

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

$78.6m Vol.
$1.0m Liq.
🔥$291k today
208
Ends in 9 months

65%

Delcy Rodríguez

Which countries will conduct military action against Iran by March 31?

Which countries will conduct military action against Iran by March 31?

$10.9m Vol.
$409k Liq.
🔥$299k today
Ends in about 8 hours

3%

Saudi Arabia

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

$13.0m Vol.
$1.3m Liq.
🔥$288k today
Ends in about 1 month

7%

Yes

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

$12.3m Vol.
$505k Liq.
🔥$285k today
294
Ends in 3 months

28%

December 31

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?

$8.6m Vol.
$497k Liq.
🔥$273k today
329
Ends in about 8 hours

79%

December 31