Gov Shutdown Predictions & Odds· 195 markets
When will the DHS shutdown end?
$517k Vol.
$136k Liq.
🔥$114k today
Ends in about 1 month
$517k Vol.🔥$114k today$136k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
37%
After April 30
When will the DHS shutdown end?
$1.6m Vol.
$83k Liq.
Ends in about 10 hours
$1.6m Vol.$83k Liq.Ends in about 10 hours
100%
After March 31
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?
$210k Vol.
$25k Liq.
11
Ends in 7 months
$210k Vol.$25k Liq.11Ends in 7 months
83%
Shutdown & Democratic Party
Number of TSA passengers March 30 - April 5?
$3k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
$3k Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 5 days
45%
18-18.5m
100%
2.6M-2.8M
100%
2.6M-2.8M
100%
<2.6M
100%
17.5-18m
1%
Yes
95%
<6,000
Who will vote "Yea" on the DHS Appropriations Act, 2026 by March 31?
$80k Vol.
$61k Liq.
1
Ends in about 10 hours
$80k Vol.$61k Liq.1Ends in about 10 hours
14%
Catherine Cortez Masto
1%
Yes
49%
6,500-7,000
Over 500 US flights cancelled on March 31?
$447 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in about 10 hours
$447 Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in about 10 hours
8%
Yes
Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?
$551k Vol.
$12k Liq.
26
Ends in about 10 hours
$551k Vol.$12k Liq.26Ends in about 10 hours
51%
December 31, 2026
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$28k Vol.
$16k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$28k Vol.$16k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
41%
April 30
