Government Shutdown Predictions & Odds· 105 markets
A
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?
$254k Vol.
$25k Liq.
11
Ends in 7 months
$254k Vol.$25k Liq.11Ends in 7 months
84%
Shutdown & Democratic Party
W
When will the DHS shutdown end?
$711k Vol.
$96k Liq.
🔥$129k today
Ends in 28 days
$711k Vol.🔥$129k today$96k Liq.Ends in 28 days
43%
April 5-8
H
How long will the DHS shutdown last?
$1.3m Vol.
$33k Liq.
🔥$62k today
Ended
$1.3m Vol.🔥$62k today$33k Liq.Ended
77%
52+ days
W
1%
Yes
W
Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?
$559k Vol.
$1k Liq.
27
Ended
$559k Vol.$1k Liq.27Ended
31%
Yes
W
What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?
$538k Vol.
$15k Liq.
🔥$127k today
172
$538k Vol.🔥$127k today$15k Liq.172
19%
Yes
O
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?
$102k Vol.
$9k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
$102k Vol.$9k Liq.2Ends in 3 months
6%
Yes
T
Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?
$7k Vol.
$855 Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$7k Vol.$855 Liq.1Ends in 9 months
61%
December 31, 2026
M
51%
Yes
T
Trump ballroom project unblocked by April 30?
$716 Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
$716 Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in 28 days
19%
Yes
W
White House # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$33k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
$33k Vol.$14k Liq.Ends in 5 days
47%
200+
W
White House # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?
$10k Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$10k Vol.$31k Liq.Ends in 8 days
37%
160-179
W
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?
$103k Vol.
$41k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
$103k Vol.$41k Liq.3Ends in 7 months
54%
US x Iran Ceasefire
W
White House # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$119k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$119k Vol.$13k Liq.Ends in 1 day
84%
200+
W
What will Bitcoin outperform in April?
$14k Vol.
$39k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
$14k Vol.$39k Liq.Ends in 28 days
52%
Silver
T
Trump's mail-in voting executive order blocked in April?
$966 Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
$966 Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in 28 days
90%
Yes
F
76%
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