Government Predictions & Odds· 1807 markets
W
Which parties will be part of the next Government of Denmark?
$32k Vol.
$29k Liq.
3
Ended
$32k Vol.$29k Liq.3Ended
98%
Moderates
W
Which parties will be part of the next Government of Slovenia?
$98k Vol.
$30k Liq.
5
Ended
$98k Vol.$30k Liq.5Ended
87%
Democrats (D)
A
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?
$254k Vol.
$21k Liq.
12
Ends in 7 months
$254k Vol.$21k Liq.12Ends in 7 months
84%
Shutdown & Democratic Party
N
Nechirvan Barzani out as Kurdistan Regional Government President?
$13k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$13k Vol.$1k Liq.Ends in 3 months
16%
Yes
K
KRG declares independence from Iraq by April 30?
$31k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 30 days
$31k Vol.$21k Liq.Ends in 30 days
3%
Yes
M
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?
$94k Vol.
$23k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
$94k Vol.$23k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
44%
December 31, 2026
W
Which companies will the US take a stake in?
$77k Vol.
$24k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
$77k Vol.$24k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
51%
Palantir
2
2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner
$18k Vol.
$33k Liq.
17
Ends in 8 months
$18k Vol.$33k Liq.17Ends in 8 months
87%
Kuomintang (KMT)
W
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
$61.2m Vol.
$2.5m Liq.
🔥$5.0m today
3
Ended
$61.2m Vol.🔥$5.0m today$2.5m Liq.3Ended
0%
Yes
U
US x Iran ceasefire by...?
$66.0m Vol.
$1.8m Liq.
🔥$3.7m today
1,282
$66.0m Vol.🔥$3.7m today$1.8m Liq.1,282
74%
December 31
N
Netanyahu out by...?
$91.1m Vol.
$4.0m Liq.
🔥$3.1m today
34
Ends in 9 months
$91.1m Vol.🔥$3.1m today$4.0m Liq.34Ends in 9 months
42%
December 31
H
Hungary Parliamentary Election Winner
$51.5m Vol.
$800k Liq.
🔥$2.1m today
109
Ends in 12 days
$51.5m Vol.🔥$2.1m today$800k Liq.109Ends in 12 days
67%
TISZA
N
Next French Presidential Election
$24.7m Vol.
$2.6m Liq.
🔥$1.3m today
357
Ends in about 1 year
$24.7m Vol.🔥$1.3m today$2.6m Liq.357Ends in about 1 year
30%
Édouard Philippe
B
Brazil Presidential Election
$34.6m Vol.
$2.3m Liq.
🔥$1.3m today
3,709
Ends in 6 months
$34.6m Vol.🔥$1.3m today$2.3m Liq.3,709Ends in 6 months
42%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
2
2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner
$9.4m Vol.
$609k Liq.
🔥$906k today
19
Ends in 2 months
$9.4m Vol.🔥$906k today$609k Liq.19Ends in 2 months
78%
Chong Won-oh
W
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
$23.3m Vol.
$1.5m Liq.
🔥$836k today
5
Ends in 3 months
$23.3m Vol.🔥$836k today$1.5m Liq.5Ends in 3 months
17%
Yes
W
Will Trump visit China by...?
$18.7m Vol.
$3.5m Liq.
🔥$714k today
426
Ends in 30 days
$18.7m Vol.🔥$714k today$3.5m Liq.426Ends in 30 days
81%
June 30
N
Next Prime Minister of Hungary
$39.8m Vol.
$1.9m Liq.
🔥$605k today
2
Ends in 12 days
$39.8m Vol.🔥$605k today$1.9m Liq.2Ends in 12 days
65%
Péter Magyar
H
How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?
$5.8m Vol.
$166k Liq.
🔥$567k today
4
Ends in 9 months
$5.8m Vol.🔥$567k today$166k Liq.4Ends in 9 months
39%
4
W
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
$13.4m Vol.
$1.6m Liq.
🔥$557k today
1
Ends in 30 days
$13.4m Vol.🔥$557k today$1.6m Liq.1Ends in 30 days
7%
Yes