Hormoz Predictions & Odds· 106 markets
A
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz on April 3?
$381k Vol.
$37k Liq.
Ends in about 10 hours
$381k Vol.$37k Liq.Ends in about 10 hours
98%
0-10
W
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?
$651k Vol.
$53k Liq.
Ended
$651k Vol.$53k Liq.Ended
4%
20+
A
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of March?
$1.6m Vol.
$44k Liq.
Ended
$1.6m Vol.$44k Liq.Ended
99%
0-10
A
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?
$31k Vol.
$56k Liq.
Ends in 27 days
$31k Vol.$56k Liq.Ends in 27 days
41%
0-10
W
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?
$23k Vol.
$41k Liq.
Ends in 27 days
$23k Vol.$41k Liq.Ends in 27 days
52%
20+
H
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 30-Apr 5)
$45k Vol.
$54k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
$45k Vol.$54k Liq.Ends in 2 days
26%
30-34
U
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...?
$2.6m Vol.
$145k Liq.
🔥$94k today
131
Ended
$2.6m Vol.🔥$94k today$145k Liq.131Ended
23%
April 30
S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
$31k Vol.
$35k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$31k Vol.$35k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
36%
Yes
W
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?
$777k Vol.
$208k Liq.
25
Ends in 27 days
$777k Vol.$208k Liq.25Ends in 27 days
12%
United States
S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
$2.2m Vol.
$210k Liq.
🔥$183k today
Ends in 27 days
$2.2m Vol.🔥$183k today$210k Liq.Ends in 27 days
13%
Yes
K
Khamenei # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?
$2k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$2k Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 8 days
41%
<5
K
Khamenei # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$34k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$34k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in 1 day
82%
<20
K
Khamenei # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$10k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
$10k Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in 5 days
40%
20-24
C
71%
<20
C
Esports · counter strike 2
Counter-Strike: Boring Players vs BMZ (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia Cup #3 Playoffs
$545 Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in about 5 hours
$545 Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in about 5 hours
76%
Boring Players
C
98%
<20
H
How many ships will Iran successfully target by April 30?
$36k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 27 days
$36k Vol.$16k Liq.Ends in 27 days
49%
2–3
W
Who will enter Iran by June 30?
$237k Vol.
$278k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
$237k Vol.$278k Liq.4Ends in 3 months
6%
Pete Hegseth
W
What will Iran conduct military action against by April 30?
$134k Vol.
$143k Liq.
Ends in 27 days
$134k Vol.$143k Liq.Ends in 27 days
30%
Habshan Field/Processing Complex
W
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
$466k Vol.
$57k Liq.
50
Ends in 3 months
$466k Vol.$57k Liq.50Ends in 3 months
89%
Yes