Hormoz Predictions & Odds· 110 markets
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of March?
$1.6m Vol.
$52k Liq.
🔥$247k today
Ends in about 9 hours
$1.6m Vol.🔥$247k today$52k Liq.Ends in about 9 hours
97%
0-10
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz on April 3?
$326k Vol.
$48k Liq.
🔥$193k today
Ends in 3 days
$326k Vol.🔥$193k today$48k Liq.Ends in 3 days
81%
0-10
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 17-23)
$440k Vol.
$34k Liq.
Ended
$440k Vol.$34k Liq.Ended
58%
20-24
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?
$605k Vol.
$45k Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours
$605k Vol.$45k Liq.Ends in about 9 hours
7%
20+
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?
$11k Vol.
$42k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$11k Vol.$42k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
35%
0-10
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 23-29)
$24k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ended
$24k Vol.$17k Liq.Ended
43%
30-34
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?
$7k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$7k Vol.$24k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
65%
20+
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...?
$2.2m Vol.
$148k Liq.
🔥$182k today
122
Ends in about 9 hours
$2.2m Vol.🔥$182k today$148k Liq.122Ends in about 9 hours
28%
April 30
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?
$648k Vol.
$140k Liq.
🔥$365k today
17
Ends in about 1 month
$648k Vol.🔥$365k today$140k Liq.17Ends in about 1 month
28%
United States
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
$1.5m Vol.
$80k Liq.
🔥$67k today
102
Ends in about 1 month
$1.5m Vol.🔥$67k today$80k Liq.102Ends in about 1 month
20%
Yes
Khamenei # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?
$26k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$26k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in 1 day
94%
<20
Khamenei # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$19k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$19k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in 4 days
87%
<20
Khamenei # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$2k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$2k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in 8 days
36%
<5
98%
<20
CZ # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$25k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$25k Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in 4 days
72%
<20
Who will enter Iran by June 30?
$204k Vol.
$153k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
$204k Vol.$153k Liq.4Ends in 3 months
9%
Pete Hegseth
What will Iran conduct military action against by April 30?
$99k Vol.
$113k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$99k Vol.$113k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
41%
Ras Laffan Industrial City
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
$413k Vol.
$30k Liq.
50
Ends in 3 months
$413k Vol.$30k Liq.50Ends in 3 months
85%
Yes
Iran successfully targets shipping on...?
$98k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours
$98k Vol.$19k Liq.Ends in about 9 hours
7%
March 30
Iran successfully targets shipping on...?
$414 Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$414 Vol.$19k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
19%
April 5