Hormuz Predictions & Odds· 128 markets
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
$1.6m Vol.
$66k Liq.
🔥$93k today
102
Ends in about 1 month
$1.6m Vol.🔥$93k today$66k Liq.102Ends in about 1 month
25%
Yes
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?
$609k Vol.
$43k Liq.
Ends in about 5 hours
$609k Vol.$43k Liq.Ends in about 5 hours
5%
20+
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?
$7k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$7k Vol.$23k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
50%
20+
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of March?
$76.4m Vol.
$13.8m Liq.
🔥$4.6m today
3
Ends in about 5 hours
$76.4m Vol.🔥$4.6m today$13.8m Liq.3Ends in about 5 hours
100%
↑ $100
What will Crude Oil (CL) settle at in March?
$1.4m Vol.
$57k Liq.
🔥$55k today
Ends in about 5 hours
$1.4m Vol.🔥$55k today$57k Liq.Ends in about 5 hours
98%
$90+
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 31?
$109k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in about 5 hours
$109k Vol.$12k Liq.Ends in about 5 hours
2%
Yes
Crude Oil (CL) above ___ end of March?
$21k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 5 hours
$21k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in about 5 hours
100%
$64
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?
$657k Vol.
$137k Liq.
🔥$228k today
16
Ends in about 1 month
$657k Vol.🔥$228k today$137k Liq.16Ends in about 1 month
27%
United States
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...?
$2.2m Vol.
$137k Liq.
🔥$195k today
122
Ends in about 5 hours
$2.2m Vol.🔥$195k today$137k Liq.122Ends in about 5 hours
28%
April 30
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of March?
$1.6m Vol.
$54k Liq.
🔥$188k today
Ends in about 5 hours
$1.6m Vol.🔥$188k today$54k Liq.Ends in about 5 hours
97%
0-10
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz on April 3?
$331k Vol.
$45k Liq.
🔥$64k today
Ends in 3 days
$331k Vol.🔥$64k today$45k Liq.Ends in 3 days
86%
0-10
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 17-23)
$448k Vol.
$46k Liq.
Ended
$448k Vol.$46k Liq.Ended
57%
20-24
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?
$11k Vol.
$48k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$11k Vol.$48k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
36%
0-10
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 23-29)
$24k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ended
$24k Vol.$14k Liq.Ended
41%
25-29
Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?
$25k Vol.
$11k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
$25k Vol.$11k Liq.3Ends in about 1 month
11%
Yes
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
$9.3m Vol.
$362k Liq.
🔥$630k today
211
Ends in 1 day
$9.3m Vol.🔥$630k today$362k Liq.211Ends in 1 day
43%
June 30
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
$353k Vol.
$89k Liq.
🔥$55k today
37
Ends in about 1 month
$353k Vol.🔥$55k today$89k Liq.37Ends in about 1 month
26%
April 30
What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing?
$46k Vol.
$49k Liq.
Ends in about 5 hours
$46k Vol.$49k Liq.Ends in about 5 hours
100%
Travel
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by...?
$719k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in about 5 hours
$719k Vol.$21k Liq.Ends in about 5 hours
42%
April 30
Iran successfully targets shipping on...?
$414 Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$414 Vol.$16k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
18%
April 5