Hormuz Predictions & Odds· 164 markets
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
$1.5m Vol.
$80k Liq.
🔥$67k today
102
Ends in about 1 month
$1.5m Vol.🔥$67k today$80k Liq.102Ends in about 1 month
20%
Yes
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?
$605k Vol.
$44k Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours
$605k Vol.$44k Liq.Ends in about 9 hours
7%
20+
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?
$7k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$7k Vol.$24k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
65%
20+
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of March?
$75.2m Vol.
$5.4m Liq.
🔥$3.8m today
3
Ends in about 9 hours
$75.2m Vol.🔥$3.8m today$5.4m Liq.3Ends in about 9 hours
94%
↑ $100
What will Crude Oil (CL) settle at in March?
$1.4m Vol.
$63k Liq.
🔥$137k today
Ends in about 9 hours
$1.4m Vol.🔥$137k today$63k Liq.Ends in about 9 hours
97%
$90+
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 31?
$109k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours
$109k Vol.$13k Liq.Ends in about 9 hours
2%
Yes
Crude Oil (CL) above ___ end of March?
$21k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours
$21k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in about 9 hours
100%
$52
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?
$648k Vol.
$138k Liq.
🔥$365k today
17
Ends in about 1 month
$648k Vol.🔥$365k today$138k Liq.17Ends in about 1 month
27%
United States
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of March?
$1.6m Vol.
$56k Liq.
🔥$247k today
Ends in about 9 hours
$1.6m Vol.🔥$247k today$56k Liq.Ends in about 9 hours
97%
0-10
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz on April 3?
$327k Vol.
$46k Liq.
🔥$194k today
Ends in 3 days
$327k Vol.🔥$194k today$46k Liq.Ends in 3 days
81%
0-10
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...?
$2.2m Vol.
$148k Liq.
🔥$182k today
122
Ends in about 9 hours
$2.2m Vol.🔥$182k today$148k Liq.122Ends in about 9 hours
28%
April 30
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 17-23)
$440k Vol.
$34k Liq.
Ended
$440k Vol.$34k Liq.Ended
53%
20-24
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?
$11k Vol.
$45k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$11k Vol.$45k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
35%
0-10
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 23-29)
$24k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ended
$24k Vol.$17k Liq.Ended
43%
30-34
Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?
$25k Vol.
$10k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
$25k Vol.$10k Liq.3Ends in about 1 month
11%
Yes
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
$9.2m Vol.
$371k Liq.
🔥$635k today
215
Ends in 1 day
$9.2m Vol.🔥$635k today$371k Liq.215Ends in 1 day
44%
June 30
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
$334k Vol.
$90k Liq.
🔥$56k today
33
Ends in about 1 month
$334k Vol.🔥$56k today$90k Liq.33Ends in about 1 month
37%
April 30
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by...?
$716k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours
$716k Vol.$20k Liq.Ends in about 9 hours
42%
April 30
What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing?
$653 Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours
$653 Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in about 9 hours
83%
TSA
Iran successfully targets shipping on...?
$98k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours
$98k Vol.$19k Liq.Ends in about 9 hours
6%
March 30