Hormuz Predictions & Odds· 119 markets
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
$1.5m Vol.
$116k Liq.
🔥$64k today
101
Ends in about 1 month
$1.5m Vol.🔥$64k today$116k Liq.101Ends in about 1 month
20%
Yes
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?
$604k Vol.
$45k Liq.
Ends in about 11 hours
$604k Vol.$45k Liq.Ends in about 11 hours
4%
20+
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?
$7k Vol.
$33k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$7k Vol.$33k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
67%
20+
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of March?
$74.7m Vol.
$5.2m Liq.
🔥$3.6m today
3
Ends in about 11 hours
$74.7m Vol.🔥$3.6m today$5.2m Liq.3Ends in about 11 hours
77%
↑ $100
What will Crude Oil (CL) settle at in March?
$1.4m Vol.
$62k Liq.
🔥$129k today
Ends in about 11 hours
$1.4m Vol.🔥$129k today$62k Liq.Ends in about 11 hours
96%
$90+
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 31?
$109k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in about 11 hours
$109k Vol.$13k Liq.Ends in about 11 hours
2%
Yes
Crude Oil (CL) above ___ end of March?
$21k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 11 hours
$21k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in about 11 hours
100%
$64
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?
$637k Vol.
$139k Liq.
🔥$388k today
15
Ends in about 1 month
$637k Vol.🔥$388k today$139k Liq.15Ends in about 1 month
34%
United States
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of March?
$1.6m Vol.
$61k Liq.
🔥$287k today
Ends in about 11 hours
$1.6m Vol.🔥$287k today$61k Liq.Ends in about 11 hours
97%
0-10
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz on April 3?
$326k Vol.
$47k Liq.
🔥$227k today
Ends in 3 days
$326k Vol.🔥$227k today$47k Liq.Ends in 3 days
80%
0-10
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...?
$2.2m Vol.
$117k Liq.
🔥$177k today
122
Ends in about 11 hours
$2.2m Vol.🔥$177k today$117k Liq.122Ends in about 11 hours
28%
April 30
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 17-23)
$436k Vol.
$42k Liq.
Ended
$436k Vol.$42k Liq.Ended
52%
15-19
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 23-29)
$24k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ended
$24k Vol.$14k Liq.Ended
39%
25-29
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?
$11k Vol.
$48k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$11k Vol.$48k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
37%
0-10
Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?
$25k Vol.
$11k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
$25k Vol.$11k Liq.3Ends in about 1 month
11%
Yes
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
$9.2m Vol.
$390k Liq.
🔥$638k today
209
Ends in 1 day
$9.2m Vol.🔥$638k today$390k Liq.209Ends in 1 day
46%
June 30
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
$331k Vol.
$91k Liq.
🔥$60k today
33
Ends in about 1 month
$331k Vol.🔥$60k today$91k Liq.33Ends in about 1 month
37%
April 30
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by...?
$715k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in about 11 hours
$715k Vol.$13k Liq.Ends in about 11 hours
41%
April 30
Iran successfully targets shipping on...?
$98k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in about 11 hours
$98k Vol.$19k Liq.Ends in about 11 hours
5%
March 31
How many ships will Iran successfully target by April 30?
$15k Vol.
$28k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$15k Vol.$28k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
59%
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