Hormuz Predictions & Odds· 162 markets
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
$1.5m Vol.
$77k Liq.
🔥$67k today
101
Ends in about 1 month
$1.5m Vol.🔥$67k today$77k Liq.101Ends in about 1 month
20%
Yes
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?
$604k Vol.
$44k Liq.
Ends in about 11 hours
$604k Vol.$44k Liq.Ends in about 11 hours
4%
20+
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?
$7k Vol.
$33k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$7k Vol.$33k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
67%
20+
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of March?
$74.8m Vol.
$5.2m Liq.
🔥$3.6m today
3
Ends in about 11 hours
$74.8m Vol.🔥$3.6m today$5.2m Liq.3Ends in about 11 hours
84%
↑ $100
What will Crude Oil (CL) settle at in March?
$1.4m Vol.
$63k Liq.
🔥$130k today
Ends in about 11 hours
$1.4m Vol.🔥$130k today$63k Liq.Ends in about 11 hours
96%
$90+
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 31?
$109k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in about 11 hours
$109k Vol.$13k Liq.Ends in about 11 hours
3%
Yes
Crude Oil (CL) above ___ end of March?
$21k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 11 hours
$21k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in about 11 hours
100%
$64
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?
$638k Vol.
$141k Liq.
🔥$383k today
15
Ends in about 1 month
$638k Vol.🔥$383k today$141k Liq.15Ends in about 1 month
33%
United States
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of March?
$1.6m Vol.
$60k Liq.
🔥$287k today
Ends in about 11 hours
$1.6m Vol.🔥$287k today$60k Liq.Ends in about 11 hours
96%
0-10
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz on April 3?
$326k Vol.
$55k Liq.
🔥$227k today
Ends in 3 days
$326k Vol.🔥$227k today$55k Liq.Ends in 3 days
80%
0-10
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...?
$2.2m Vol.
$121k Liq.
🔥$177k today
122
Ends in about 11 hours
$2.2m Vol.🔥$177k today$121k Liq.122Ends in about 11 hours
28%
April 30
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 17-23)
$436k Vol.
$42k Liq.
Ended
$436k Vol.$42k Liq.Ended
51%
15-19
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 23-29)
$24k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ended
$24k Vol.$14k Liq.Ended
39%
25-29
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?
$11k Vol.
$50k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$11k Vol.$50k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
36%
0-10
Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?
$25k Vol.
$11k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
$25k Vol.$11k Liq.3Ends in about 1 month
11%
Yes
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
$9.2m Vol.
$393k Liq.
🔥$639k today
209
Ends in 1 day
$9.2m Vol.🔥$639k today$393k Liq.209Ends in 1 day
45%
June 30
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
$333k Vol.
$91k Liq.
🔥$61k today
33
Ends in about 1 month
$333k Vol.🔥$61k today$91k Liq.33Ends in about 1 month
37%
April 30
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by...?
$715k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in about 11 hours
$715k Vol.$12k Liq.Ends in about 11 hours
40%
April 30
Iran successfully targets shipping on...?
$98k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in about 11 hours
$98k Vol.$23k Liq.Ends in about 11 hours
3%
March 31
How many ships will Iran successfully target by April 30?
$16k Vol.
$29k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$16k Vol.$29k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
58%
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