Initial Jobless Claims Predictions & Odds· 199 markets

L
Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?

Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?

$1.2m Vol.
$81k Liq.
18
Ends in over 1 year

39%

Goldman Sachs

I
In which month will SpaceX IPO?

In which month will SpaceX IPO?

$146k Vol.
$31k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months

56%

June

S
SpaceX IPO by ___ ?

SpaceX IPO by ___ ?

$704k Vol.
$333k Liq.
🔥$115k today
23
Ends in 9 months

91%

December 31

I
IPOs before 2027?

IPOs before 2027?

$5.2m Vol.
$142k Liq.
🔥$104k today
3
Ends in 9 months

94%

SpaceX

W
What will SpaceX's public ticker be?

What will SpaceX's public ticker be?

$4.0m Vol.
$157k Liq.
🔥$60k today
172
Ends in over 1 year

63%

Other

H
How much will SpaceX raise in its IPO?

How much will SpaceX raise in its IPO?

$79k Vol.
$54k Liq.
3

26%

70-80B

C
China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q1 2026?

China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q1 2026?

$207k Vol.
$30k Liq.
1
Ends in 17 days

50%

5.0-5.5%

W
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

$314k Vol.
$5k Liq.
7
Ends in 9 months

31%

Yes

W
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

$117k Vol.
$9k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months

13%

Yes

L
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

$1.6m Vol.
$238k Liq.
10
Ends in 9 months

90%

SpaceX

C
China Annual GDP Growth 2026

China Annual GDP Growth 2026

$200k Vol.
$49k Liq.
4
Ended

72%

4.0–5.0%

O
OKX IPO in 2026?

OKX IPO in 2026?

$529k Vol.
$39k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months

15%

Yes

C
Clavicular sentenced to prison?

Clavicular sentenced to prison?

$2k Vol.
$1k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months

36%

Yes

W
What will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be?

What will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be?

$82k Vol.
$45k Liq.
1

30%

1.75-2.00T

W
Which exchange will SpaceX list on?

Which exchange will SpaceX list on?

$71k Vol.
$41k Liq.

93%

NASDAQ

I
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

$2.7m Vol.
$14k Liq.
394
Ended

20%

June 30

W
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?

Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?

$11k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 2 months

3%

Yes

W
Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?

Sports · NBA

Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?

$29k Vol.
$10k Liq.
3
Ends in 12 days

3%

Yes

K
Kraken IPO by ___ ?

Kraken IPO by ___ ?

$1.4m Vol.
$124k Liq.
44
Ended

59%

December 31, 2026

U
UK GDP growth in Q1 2026?

UK GDP growth in Q1 2026?

$20k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

67%

0.0-0.3%