Initial Jobless Claims Predictions & Odds· 199 markets
L
Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?
$1.2m Vol.
$81k Liq.
18
Ends in over 1 year
$1.2m Vol.$81k Liq.18Ends in over 1 year
39%
Goldman Sachs
I
In which month will SpaceX IPO?
$146k Vol.
$31k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$146k Vol.$31k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
56%
June
S
SpaceX IPO by ___ ?
$704k Vol.
$333k Liq.
🔥$115k today
23
Ends in 9 months
$704k Vol.🔥$115k today$333k Liq.23Ends in 9 months
91%
December 31
I
IPOs before 2027?
$5.2m Vol.
$142k Liq.
🔥$104k today
3
Ends in 9 months
$5.2m Vol.🔥$104k today$142k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
94%
SpaceX
W
What will SpaceX's public ticker be?
$4.0m Vol.
$157k Liq.
🔥$60k today
172
Ends in over 1 year
$4.0m Vol.🔥$60k today$157k Liq.172Ends in over 1 year
63%
Other
H
26%
70-80B
C
China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q1 2026?
$207k Vol.
$30k Liq.
1
Ends in 17 days
$207k Vol.$30k Liq.1Ends in 17 days
50%
5.0-5.5%
W
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
$314k Vol.
$5k Liq.
7
Ends in 9 months
$314k Vol.$5k Liq.7Ends in 9 months
31%
Yes
W
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
$117k Vol.
$9k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$117k Vol.$9k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
13%
Yes
L
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
$1.6m Vol.
$238k Liq.
10
Ends in 9 months
$1.6m Vol.$238k Liq.10Ends in 9 months
90%
SpaceX
C
72%
4.0–5.0%
C
36%
Yes
I
20%
June 30
W
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?
$11k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
$11k Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 2 months
3%
Yes
W
Sports · NBA
Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?
$29k Vol.
$10k Liq.
3
Ends in 12 days
$29k Vol.$10k Liq.3Ends in 12 days
3%
Yes
K
59%
December 31, 2026
U
UK GDP growth in Q1 2026?
$20k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$20k Vol.$9k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
67%
0.0-0.3%