Iranian Leadership Regime Predictions & Odds· 123 markets
W
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
$18.2m Vol.
$1.5m Liq.
🔥$1.4m today
1
Ends in 27 days
$18.2m Vol.🔥$1.4m today$1.5m Liq.1Ends in 27 days
3%
Yes
W
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
$25.1m Vol.
$1.5m Liq.
🔥$638k today
12
Ends in 3 months
$25.1m Vol.🔥$638k today$1.5m Liq.12Ends in 3 months
12%
Yes
K
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
$11.3m Vol.
$525k Liq.
🔥$530k today
232
Ended
$11.3m Vol.🔥$530k today$525k Liq.232Ended
28%
June 30
W
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
$12.9m Vol.
$471k Liq.
🔥$276k today
20
Ends in 9 months
$12.9m Vol.🔥$276k today$471k Liq.20Ends in 9 months
24%
Yes
W
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
$26k Vol.
$241k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$26k Vol.$241k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
7%
Yes
W
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
$466k Vol.
$57k Liq.
51
Ends in 3 months
$466k Vol.$57k Liq.51Ends in 3 months
89%
Yes
I
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?
$31k Vol.
$12k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$31k Vol.$12k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
23%
Leadership Change
I
Iran leadership change by...?
$6.0m Vol.
$329k Liq.
🔥$171k today
891
Ends in 9 months
$6.0m Vol.🔥$171k today$329k Liq.891Ends in 9 months
33%
December 31
W
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?
$13.1m Vol.
$619k Liq.
🔥$121k today
304
Ends in 3 months
$13.1m Vol.🔥$121k today$619k Liq.304Ends in 3 months
17%
December 31
I
Iran leader end of 2026?
$5.8m Vol.
$962k Liq.
🔥$56k today
72
Ends in 9 months
$5.8m Vol.🔥$56k today$962k Liq.72Ends in 9 months
67%
Mojtaba Khamenei
W
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
$894k Vol.
$116k Liq.
30
Ends in 9 months
$894k Vol.$116k Liq.30Ends in 9 months
11%
Yes
I
Middle East · Iran Regime
Internet Access restored in Iran by...?
$120k Vol.
$12k Liq.
31
Ends in 27 days
$120k Vol.$12k Liq.31Ends in 27 days
9%
Yes
W
Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?
$192k Vol.
$23k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
$192k Vol.$23k Liq.1Ends in 3 months
7%
Yes
M
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by...?
$765k Vol.
$80k Liq.
62
Ends in 27 days
$765k Vol.$80k Liq.62Ends in 27 days
10%
June 30
K
Kurds declare independence from Iran?
$112k Vol.
$20k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
$112k Vol.$20k Liq.9Ends in 3 months
10%
Yes
U
US announces military support of Iran opposition by...?
$237k Vol.
$16k Liq.
10
Ends in 27 days
$237k Vol.$16k Liq.10Ends in 27 days
8%
Yes
I
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
$344k Vol.
$49k Liq.
18
Ends in 3 months
$344k Vol.$49k Liq.18Ends in 3 months
14%
Yes
W
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?
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$21k Liq.
7
Ends in 27 days
$284k Vol.$21k Liq.7Ends in 27 days
8%
June 30
U
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
$476k Vol.
$55k Liq.
28
Ends in 9 months
$476k Vol.$55k Liq.28Ends in 9 months
14%
Yes