Iranian Leadership Regime Predictions & Odds· 125 markets
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
$58.4m Vol.
$2.4m Liq.
🔥$4.2m today
3
Ends in about 6 hours
$58.4m Vol.🔥$4.2m today$2.4m Liq.3Ends in about 6 hours
0%
Yes
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
$22.9m Vol.
$1.4m Liq.
🔥$654k today
3
Ends in 3 months
$22.9m Vol.🔥$654k today$1.4m Liq.3Ends in 3 months
16%
Yes
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
$9.3m Vol.
$349k Liq.
🔥$631k today
211
Ends in 1 day
$9.3m Vol.🔥$631k today$349k Liq.211Ends in 1 day
44%
June 30
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
$13.1m Vol.
$1.3m Liq.
🔥$427k today
Ends in about 1 month
$13.1m Vol.🔥$427k today$1.3m Liq.Ends in about 1 month
7%
Yes
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
$12.2m Vol.
$257k Liq.
🔥$172k today
11
Ends in 9 months
$12.2m Vol.🔥$172k today$257k Liq.11Ends in 9 months
33%
Yes
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
$416k Vol.
$28k Liq.
50
Ends in 3 months
$416k Vol.$28k Liq.50Ends in 3 months
85%
Yes
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?
$28k Vol.
$12k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$28k Vol.$12k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
35%
Leadership Change
Iran leadership change by...?
$5.3m Vol.
$213k Liq.
🔥$127k today
887
Ends in 9 months
$5.3m Vol.🔥$127k today$213k Liq.887Ends in 9 months
48%
December 31
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?
$12.4m Vol.
$412k Liq.
🔥$353k today
288
Ends in 3 months
$12.4m Vol.🔥$353k today$412k Liq.288Ends in 3 months
28%
December 31
Iran leader end of 2026?
$5.6m Vol.
$814k Liq.
70
Ends in 9 months
$5.6m Vol.$814k Liq.70Ends in 9 months
49%
Mojtaba Khamenei
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by...?
$733k Vol.
$84k Liq.
61
Ends in about 1 month
$733k Vol.$84k Liq.61Ends in about 1 month
9%
June 30
Iran successfully targets shipping on...?
$98k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in about 6 hours
$98k Vol.$20k Liq.Ends in about 6 hours
7%
March 30
Middle East · Iran Regime
Internet Access restored in Iran by...?
$102k Vol.
$15k Liq.
27
Ends in about 1 month
$102k Vol.$15k Liq.27Ends in about 1 month
20%
April 30
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
$841k Vol.
$88k Liq.
29
Ends in 9 months
$841k Vol.$88k Liq.29Ends in 9 months
15%
Yes
How many ships will Iran successfully target by March 31?
$64k Vol.
$37k Liq.
2
Ends in about 6 hours
$64k Vol.$37k Liq.2Ends in about 6 hours
98%
<5
US announces military support of Iran opposition by...?
$233k Vol.
$14k Liq.
10
Ends in about 1 month
$233k Vol.$14k Liq.10Ends in about 1 month
8%
April 30
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
$339k Vol.
$19k Liq.
18
Ends in 3 months
$339k Vol.$19k Liq.18Ends in 3 months
22%
Yes
Kurds declare independence from Iran?
$108k Vol.
$14k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
$108k Vol.$14k Liq.9Ends in 3 months
14%
Yes
Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?
$186k Vol.
$22k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
$186k Vol.$22k Liq.1Ends in 3 months
7%
Yes
Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet on...?
$24k Vol.
$102 Liq.
43
Ends in about 6 hours
$24k Vol.$102 Liq.43Ends in about 6 hours
46%
Yes